President Donald Trump has publicly criticized Iran's appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader following his father Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026, calling it a "big mistake" amid escalating US airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions. In late April, Trump invited Iran to initiate direct phone diplomacy via secure lines and confirmed US talks with a "top respected" Iranian figure—explicitly excluding Mojtaba as "unavailable"—while rejecting Tehran's ceasefire proposal. Recent statements from Iranian MPs, including on May 14, assert hardline resistance and reference indirect negotiations, but no verified direct Trump-Mojtaba contact has emerged. Trader consensus reflects low probability due to fractured leadership claims, ongoing military actions, and preference for backchannel diplomacy over presidential-level engagement with the new supreme leader.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЧи буде Трамп розмовляти з Мойтабою Хаменеї...?
Чи буде Трамп розмовляти з Мойтабою Хаменеї...?
$432,477 Обс.
May 31
1%
30 червня
2%
$432,477 Обс.
May 31
1%
30 червня
2%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 27, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Mojtaba Khamenei and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has publicly criticized Iran's appointment of Mojtaba Khamenei as supreme leader following his father Ali Khamenei's death in early 2026, calling it a "big mistake" amid escalating US airstrikes and Strait of Hormuz tensions. In late April, Trump invited Iran to initiate direct phone diplomacy via secure lines and confirmed US talks with a "top respected" Iranian figure—explicitly excluding Mojtaba as "unavailable"—while rejecting Tehran's ceasefire proposal. Recent statements from Iranian MPs, including on May 14, assert hardline resistance and reference indirect negotiations, but no verified direct Trump-Mojtaba contact has emerged. Trader consensus reflects low probability due to fractured leadership claims, ongoing military actions, and preference for backchannel diplomacy over presidential-level engagement with the new supreme leader.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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