Historical conversion rates for penalties awarded during World Cup matches or extra time stand at approximately 79.1% since 1978, aligning closely with the current implied probability for a made outcome. This reflects consistent execution under match conditions rather than shootouts, where pressure and goalkeeper anticipation often reduce success. With the 2026 tournament opening across multiple venues, the first spot kick will likely involve established international takers facing standard distances and surfaces, with no widespread injury concerns or atypical matchups altering baseline expectations at this early stage. Trader consensus incorporates these patterns alongside typical goalkeeper positioning and taker confidence in high-stakes but non-shootout scenarios.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMade
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 20, 2026
Made
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 20, 2026
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Historical conversion rates for penalties awarded during World Cup matches or extra time stand at approximately 79.1% since 1978, aligning closely with the current implied probability for a made outcome. This reflects consistent execution under match conditions rather than shootouts, where pressure and goalkeeper anticipation often reduce success. With the 2026 tournament opening across multiple venues, the first spot kick will likely involve established international takers facing standard distances and surfaces, with no widespread injury concerns or atypical matchups altering baseline expectations at this early stage. Trader consensus incorporates these patterns alongside typical goalkeeper positioning and taker confidence in high-stakes but non-shootout scenarios.
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,138Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Historical conversion rates for penalties awarded during World Cup matches or extra time stand at approximately 79.1% since 1978, aligning closely with the current implied probability for a made outcome. This reflects consistent execution under match conditions rather than shootouts, where pressure and goalkeeper anticipation often reduce success. With the 2026 tournament opening across multiple venues, the first spot kick will likely involve established international takers facing standard distances and surfaces, with no widespread injury concerns or atypical matchups altering baseline expectations at this early stage. Trader consensus incorporates these patterns alongside typical goalkeeper positioning and taker confidence in high-stakes but non-shootout scenarios.
This market will resolve to “Made” if the first penalty kick taken in the 2026 FIFA World Cup is scored. This market will resolve to “Missed” if the first penalty kick taken is missed or saved.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The first penalty taken is the earliest penalty kick attempted in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time, in the chronologically earliest match in which a penalty is awarded. Penalty shootout kicks do not count. This market resolves on the outcome of the first penalty taken, regardless of whether or not it is converted.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no penalty kick is taken in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time during the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$6,139Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 7, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Historical conversion rates for penalties awarded during World Cup matches or extra time stand at approximately 79.1% since 1978, aligning closely with the current implied probability for a made outcome. This reflects consistent execution under match conditions rather than shootouts, where pressure and goalkeeper anticipation often reduce success. With the 2026 tournament opening across multiple venues, the first spot kick will likely involve established international takers facing standard distances and surfaces, with no widespread injury concerns or atypical matchups altering baseline expectations at this early stage. Trader consensus incorporates these patterns alongside typical goalkeeper positioning and taker confidence in high-stakes but non-shootout scenarios.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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