Japan's position in Group F alongside the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia creates immediate uncertainty, as their June 14 opener and subsequent results will determine both advancement and the Round of 16 matchup in the expanded 48-team bracket. Simulations show an 80%+ chance of escaping the group, but finishing first, second, or third dramatically alters the path, with third place risking early clashes against sides like Brazil or France. Recent strong results against European opponents and a technically proficient squad support realistic progression to the Round of 16 or quarterfinals for many traders, yet the competitive group and historical last-16 exits keep probabilities for an early exit tightly bunched with deeper-run scenarios.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRound of 32 44%
Round of 16 21%
Group Stage 17%
Quarterfinals 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 19, 2026
Round of 32
44%
Round of 16
21%
Group Stage
17%
Quarterfinals
15%
Semifinals
7%
Champion
5%
Final
3%
Round of 32 44%
Round of 16 21%
Group Stage 17%
Quarterfinals 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 19, 2026
Round of 32
$233 Обс.
44%
Round of 16
$151 Обс.
21%
Group Stage
$634 Обс.
17%
Quarterfinals
$735 Обс.
15%
Semifinals
$2,418 Обс.
7%
Champion
$28 Обс.
5%
Final
$233 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan's position in Group F alongside the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia creates immediate uncertainty, as their June 14 opener and subsequent results will determine both advancement and the Round of 16 matchup in the expanded 48-team bracket. Simulations show an 80%+ chance of escaping the group, but finishing first, second, or third dramatically alters the path, with third place risking early clashes against sides like Brazil or France. Recent strong results against European opponents and a technically proficient squad support realistic progression to the Round of 16 or quarterfinals for many traders, yet the competitive group and historical last-16 exits keep probabilities for an early exit tightly bunched with deeper-run scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,433Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Japan's position in Group F alongside the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia creates immediate uncertainty, as their June 14 opener and subsequent results will determine both advancement and the Round of 16 matchup in the expanded 48-team bracket. Simulations show an 80%+ chance of escaping the group, but finishing first, second, or third dramatically alters the path, with third place risking early clashes against sides like Brazil or France. Recent strong results against European opponents and a technically proficient squad support realistic progression to the Round of 16 or quarterfinals for many traders, yet the competitive group and historical last-16 exits keep probabilities for an early exit tightly bunched with deeper-run scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Japan is eliminated. If Japan wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Japan is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Japan based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$4,433Дата завершення
Jul 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 7, 2026, 12:53 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.fifa.com/en/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan's position in Group F alongside the Netherlands, Sweden, and Tunisia creates immediate uncertainty, as their June 14 opener and subsequent results will determine both advancement and the Round of 16 matchup in the expanded 48-team bracket. Simulations show an 80%+ chance of escaping the group, but finishing first, second, or third dramatically alters the path, with third place risking early clashes against sides like Brazil or France. Recent strong results against European opponents and a technically proficient squad support realistic progression to the Round of 16 or quarterfinals for many traders, yet the competitive group and historical last-16 exits keep probabilities for an early exit tightly bunched with deeper-run scenarios.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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