Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at 17% implied probability, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1%, as both enter as the standout European sides following strong qualification campaigns and Spain's Euro 2024 title. England and Portugal sit level at 10.8% while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly, reflecting the depth across the top six contenders. Recent international form, squad talent including emerging stars, and coaching stability underpin the tight clustering, with no single team separating decisively ahead of the June 11 kickoff. The expanded 48-team format and potential for upsets in a longer knockout path keep probabilities bunched, as traders weigh historical patterns against current roster health and group-stage matchups.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоІспанія 17.0%
Франція 16.1%
Англія 10.8%
Португалія 10.8%
$1,958,022,100 Обс.
$1,958,022,100 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
Іспанія
17%
Франція
16%
Англія
11%
Португалія
11%
Аргентина
9%
Бразилія
8%
Німеччина
5%
Нідерланди
4%
Норвегія
2%
Бельгія
2%
Колумбія
2%
Японія
2%
Марокко
2%
Мексика
1%
Швейцарія
1%
Туреччина
1%
США
1%
Уругвай
1%
Croatia
1%
Еквадор
1%
Сенегал
1%
Кот-д’Івуар
<1%
Austria
<1%
Канада
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Південна Корея
<1%
Шотландія
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Іран
<1%
Гана
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Боснія і Герцеговина
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Демократична Республіка Конго
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Нова Зеландія
<1%
Гаїті
<1%
Йорданія
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Туніс
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ірак
<1%
Південна Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Іспанія 17.0%
Франція 16.1%
Англія 10.8%
Португалія 10.8%
$1,958,022,100 Обс.
$1,958,022,100 Обс.
Jul 20, 2026
Іспанія
$37,463,002 Обс.
17%
Франція
$44,014,343 Обс.
16%
Англія
$32,446,608 Обс.
11%
Португалія
$39,375,226 Обс.
11%
Аргентина
$34,839,619 Обс.
9%
Бразилія
$34,000,532 Обс.
8%
Німеччина
$36,191,471 Обс.
5%
Нідерланди
$38,463,280 Обс.
4%
Норвегія
$37,293,817 Обс.
2%
Бельгія
$40,211,489 Обс.
2%
Колумбія
$40,354,482 Обс.
2%
Японія
$40,732,670 Обс.
2%
Марокко
$44,015,464 Обс.
2%
Мексика
$44,175,128 Обс.
1%
Швейцарія
$39,033,173 Обс.
1%
Туреччина
$36,811,969 Обс.
1%
США
$56,493,216 Обс.
1%
Уругвай
$39,470,980 Обс.
1%
Croatia
$45,139,724 Обс.
1%
Еквадор
$45,004,607 Обс.
1%
Сенегал
$38,971,065 Обс.
1%
Кот-д’Івуар
$52,621,194 Обс.
<1%
Austria
$43,172,142 Обс.
<1%
Канада
$44,090,254 Обс.
<1%
Sweden
$29,866,820 Обс.
<1%
Південна Корея
$48,389,041 Обс.
<1%
Шотландія
$42,304,869 Обс.
<1%
Egypt
$51,305,585 Обс.
<1%
Іран
$44,609,479 Обс.
<1%
Гана
$36,981,021 Обс.
<1%
Алжир
$44,704,946 Обс.
<1%
Боснія і Герцеговина
$27,955,008 Обс.
<1%
Парагвай
$42,076,718 Обс.
<1%
Демократична Республіка Конго
$57,797,904 Обс.
<1%
Czechia
$31,090,346 Обс.
<1%
Australia
$46,197,871 Обс.
<1%
Нова Зеландія
$45,486,877 Обс.
<1%
Гаїті
$32,043,278 Обс.
<1%
Йорданія
$31,615,970 Обс.
<1%
Кюрасао
$41,680,839 Обс.
<1%
Туніс
$35,517,463 Обс.
<1%
Узбекистан
$59,663,014 Обс.
<1%
Панама
$19,385,468 Обс.
<1%
Ірак
$28,870,732 Обс.
<1%
Південна Африка
$38,252,430 Обс.
<1%
Кабо-Верде
$40,218,190 Обс.
<1%
Катар
$41,906,699 Обс.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$47,629,414 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at 17% implied probability, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1%, as both enter as the standout European sides following strong qualification campaigns and Spain's Euro 2024 title. England and Portugal sit level at 10.8% while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly, reflecting the depth across the top six contenders. Recent international form, squad talent including emerging stars, and coaching stability underpin the tight clustering, with no single team separating decisively ahead of the June 11 kickoff. The expanded 48-team format and potential for upsets in a longer knockout path keep probabilities bunched, as traders weigh historical patterns against current roster health and group-stage matchups.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,958,022,100Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at 17% implied probability, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1%, as both enter as the standout European sides following strong qualification campaigns and Spain's Euro 2024 title. England and Portugal sit level at 10.8% while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly, reflecting the depth across the top six contenders. Recent international form, squad talent including emerging stars, and coaching stability underpin the tight clustering, with no single team separating decisively ahead of the June 11 kickoff. The expanded 48-team format and potential for upsets in a longer knockout path keep probabilities bunched, as traders weigh historical patterns against current roster health and group-stage matchups.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,958,022,100Дата завершення
Jul 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads the 2026 World Cup winner market at 17% implied probability, narrowly ahead of France at 16.1%, as both enter as the standout European sides following strong qualification campaigns and Spain's Euro 2024 title. England and Portugal sit level at 10.8% while Argentina and Brazil trail slightly, reflecting the depth across the top six contenders. Recent international form, squad talent including emerging stars, and coaching stability underpin the tight clustering, with no single team separating decisively ahead of the June 11 kickoff. The expanded 48-team format and potential for upsets in a longer knockout path keep probabilities bunched, as traders weigh historical patterns against current roster health and group-stage matchups.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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