The European Commission's ongoing enforcement of the Digital Services Act through targeted fines and compliance remedies, rather than national-level prohibitions, anchors trader consensus around a 64.5% implied probability that X avoids a full ban in any EU country by year-end. A €120 million penalty for deceptive blue-check verification was successfully appealed in February 2026, with regulators favoring office inspections, ad restrictions on EU accounts, and partial platform adjustments over outright blocks. While recent polls indicate nearly half of Europeans would support a ban for continued rule breaches, institutional timelines for court escalation typically span 18–36 months, and emerging proposals focus on age-based restrictions for minors instead of platform-wide shutdowns. Key near-term catalysts include further DSA remedy reviews and potential coordinated member-state actions on content moderation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$10,439 Обс.
$10,439 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$10,439 Обс.
$10,439 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The European Commission's ongoing enforcement of the Digital Services Act through targeted fines and compliance remedies, rather than national-level prohibitions, anchors trader consensus around a 64.5% implied probability that X avoids a full ban in any EU country by year-end. A €120 million penalty for deceptive blue-check verification was successfully appealed in February 2026, with regulators favoring office inspections, ad restrictions on EU accounts, and partial platform adjustments over outright blocks. While recent polls indicate nearly half of Europeans would support a ban for continued rule breaches, institutional timelines for court escalation typically span 18–36 months, and emerging proposals focus on age-based restrictions for minors instead of platform-wide shutdowns. Key near-term catalysts include further DSA remedy reviews and potential coordinated member-state actions on content moderation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,439Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The European Commission's ongoing enforcement of the Digital Services Act through targeted fines and compliance remedies, rather than national-level prohibitions, anchors trader consensus around a 64.5% implied probability that X avoids a full ban in any EU country by year-end. A €120 million penalty for deceptive blue-check verification was successfully appealed in February 2026, with regulators favoring office inspections, ad restrictions on EU accounts, and partial platform adjustments over outright blocks. While recent polls indicate nearly half of Europeans would support a ban for continued rule breaches, institutional timelines for court escalation typically span 18–36 months, and emerging proposals focus on age-based restrictions for minors instead of platform-wide shutdowns. Key near-term catalysts include further DSA remedy reviews and potential coordinated member-state actions on content moderation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter. Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$10,439Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Commission's ongoing enforcement of the Digital Services Act through targeted fines and compliance remedies, rather than national-level prohibitions, anchors trader consensus around a 64.5% implied probability that X avoids a full ban in any EU country by year-end. A €120 million penalty for deceptive blue-check verification was successfully appealed in February 2026, with regulators favoring office inspections, ad restrictions on EU accounts, and partial platform adjustments over outright blocks. While recent polls indicate nearly half of Europeans would support a ban for continued rule breaches, institutional timelines for court escalation typically span 18–36 months, and emerging proposals focus on age-based restrictions for minors instead of platform-wide shutdowns. Key near-term catalysts include further DSA remedy reviews and potential coordinated member-state actions on content moderation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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