Both sides enter this August 12 pre-season friendly at Murrayfield with comparable squad depth and limited competitive minutes under new or returning leadership, keeping implied probabilities tightly grouped around 44% for Everton, 39% for Newcastle United, and 38% for the draw. Everton manager David Moyes is integrating summer additions while monitoring fitness concerns such as Jarrad Branthwaite’s thigh issue, while Newcastle under Matthias Jaissle tests options around players like Kieran Trippier returning from hamstring problems. Recent head-to-head results show no draws in the prior three meetings, yet the absence of league points or standings pressure, combined with experimental lineups and equal rest advantages, sustains balanced trader sentiment across all three outcomes.