France holds a slim 17.9% implied probability edge as 2026 FIFA World Cup winner on Polymarket, with Spain close at 16.4%, reflecting trader consensus on both teams' roster depth amid mounting pre-tournament injuries like Kylian Mbappé's hamstring sidelining and Lamine Yamal's season-ending issue. Spain's Euro 2024 success and emerging talents such as Pedri sustain their contention, while England's 11.5% follows solid Nations League form but defensive vulnerabilities. Brazil (9.2%) and Argentina (8.6%) trail due to Vinícius Júnior fitness doubts and Lionel Messi's age (39), keeping the race tight in the 48-team expanded format with balanced group draws and knockout volatility from recent international friendlies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPháp 17.9%
Tây Ban Nha 16.4%
Anh 11.5%
Brazil 9.2%
$971,069,749 KL.
$971,069,749 KL.
Jul 20, 2026
Pháp
18%
Tây Ban Nha
16%
Anh
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
9%
Bồ Đào Nha
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
3%
Na Uy
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Pháp 17.9%
Tây Ban Nha 16.4%
Anh 11.5%
Brazil 9.2%
$971,069,749 KL.
$971,069,749 KL.
Jul 20, 2026
Pháp
$25,784,112 KL.
18%
Tây Ban Nha
$19,980,524 KL.
16%
Anh
$16,480,559 KL.
11%
Brazil
$17,792,016 KL.
9%
Argentina
$17,111,395 KL.
9%
Bồ Đào Nha
$18,915,689 KL.
8%
Đức
$16,016,866 KL.
5%
Hà Lan
$18,135,814 KL.
3%
Na Uy
$16,769,595 KL.
2%
Nhật Bản
$21,070,597 KL.
2%
Bỉ
$16,017,804 KL.
2%
Colombia
$15,084,922 KL.
2%
Hoa Kỳ
$31,791,581 KL.
2%
Ma-rốc
$20,021,540 KL.
2%
Thụy Sĩ
$17,480,589 KL.
1%
Uruguay
$17,015,944 KL.
1%
Mexico
$19,035,967 KL.
1%
Croatia
$20,527,015 KL.
1%
Ecuador
$20,670,688 KL.
1%
Senegal
$17,007,802 KL.
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
$9,758,688 KL.
1%
Austria
$18,241,457 KL.
1%
Sweden
$9,240,118 KL.
1%
Canada
$22,492,666 KL.
<1%
Hàn Quốc
$23,551,859 KL.
<1%
Paraguay
$19,076,996 KL.
<1%
Scotland
$18,130,792 KL.
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
$21,735,511 KL.
<1%
Czechia
$8,861,153 KL.
<1%
Egypt
$22,847,318 KL.
<1%
Ghana
$17,691,762 KL.
<1%
Algeria
$21,384,002 KL.
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
$10,221,548 KL.
<1%
Tunisia
$21,549,994 KL.
<1%
Australia
$23,141,570 KL.
<1%
New Zealand
$30,227,271 KL.
<1%
Haiti
$17,270,845 KL.
<1%
Jordan
$25,452,501 KL.
<1%
Curaçao
$35,931,774 KL.
<1%
Iran
$23,654,792 KL.
<1%
Uzbekistan
$38,404,599 KL.
<1%
Panama
$12,490,779 KL.
<1%
Iraq
$12,143,759 KL.
<1%
Nam Phi
$26,472,799 KL.
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
$16,095,819 KL.
<1%
Cape Verde
$22,288,403 KL.
<1%
Qatar
$24,102,440 KL.
<1%
Saudi Arabia
$26,972,687 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a slim 17.9% implied probability edge as 2026 FIFA World Cup winner on Polymarket, with Spain close at 16.4%, reflecting trader consensus on both teams' roster depth amid mounting pre-tournament injuries like Kylian Mbappé's hamstring sidelining and Lamine Yamal's season-ending issue. Spain's Euro 2024 success and emerging talents such as Pedri sustain their contention, while England's 11.5% follows solid Nations League form but defensive vulnerabilities. Brazil (9.2%) and Argentina (8.6%) trail due to Vinícius Júnior fitness doubts and Lionel Messi's age (39), keeping the race tight in the 48-team expanded format with balanced group draws and knockout volatility from recent international friendlies.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$971,069,749Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France holds a slim 17.9% implied probability edge as 2026 FIFA World Cup winner on Polymarket, with Spain close at 16.4%, reflecting trader consensus on both teams' roster depth amid mounting pre-tournament injuries like Kylian Mbappé's hamstring sidelining and Lamine Yamal's season-ending issue. Spain's Euro 2024 success and emerging talents such as Pedri sustain their contention, while England's 11.5% follows solid Nations League form but defensive vulnerabilities. Brazil (9.2%) and Argentina (8.6%) trail due to Vinícius Júnior fitness doubts and Lionel Messi's age (39), keeping the race tight in the 48-team expanded format with balanced group draws and knockout volatility from recent international friendlies.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$971,069,749Ngày kết thúc
Jul 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France holds a slim 17.9% implied probability edge as 2026 FIFA World Cup winner on Polymarket, with Spain close at 16.4%, reflecting trader consensus on both teams' roster depth amid mounting pre-tournament injuries like Kylian Mbappé's hamstring sidelining and Lamine Yamal's season-ending issue. Spain's Euro 2024 success and emerging talents such as Pedri sustain their contention, while England's 11.5% follows solid Nations League form but defensive vulnerabilities. Brazil (9.2%) and Argentina (8.6%) trail due to Vinícius Júnior fitness doubts and Lionel Messi's age (39), keeping the race tight in the 48-team expanded format with balanced group draws and knockout volatility from recent international friendlies.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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