France, Spain, and England head the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market with implied probabilities clustered between 11.3% and 18.6%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on a tightly contested field shaped by deep European squads and strong recent international results. Spain’s emerging talent and consistent UEFA Nations League performances keep them close to France, whose star-laden roster maintains an edge despite periodic injury updates. England’s blend of experience and depth, combined with favorable scheduling in the expanded 48-team tournament across North America, supports their standing. South American sides like Brazil and Argentina trail slightly due to transitional phases, yet retain upset potential through historical pedigree and qualifying form. Recent friendlies and qualification matches have reinforced this balance without major shifts in trader sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPháp 18.6%
Tây Ban Nha 16.8%
Anh 11.3%
Brazil 9.2%
$1,009,414,341 KL.
$1,009,414,341 KL.
Pháp
19%
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Anh
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
9%
Bồ Đào Nha
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
3%
Na Uy
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Pháp 18.6%
Tây Ban Nha 16.8%
Anh 11.3%
Brazil 9.2%
$1,009,414,341 KL.
$1,009,414,341 KL.
Pháp
19%
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Anh
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
9%
Bồ Đào Nha
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
3%
Na Uy
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France, Spain, and England head the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market with implied probabilities clustered between 11.3% and 18.6%, reflecting the wisdom of crowds on a tightly contested field shaped by deep European squads and strong recent international results. Spain’s emerging talent and consistent UEFA Nations League performances keep them close to France, whose star-laden roster maintains an edge despite periodic injury updates. England’s blend of experience and depth, combined with favorable scheduling in the expanded 48-team tournament across North America, supports their standing. South American sides like Brazil and Argentina trail slightly due to transitional phases, yet retain upset potential through historical pedigree and qualifying form. Recent friendlies and qualification matches have reinforced this balance without major shifts in trader sentiment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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