France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 17.3% implied probability thanks to its experienced core from the 2018 title and 2022 final, combined with recent friendly wins and an unmatched attacking depth featuring Kylian Mbappé. Spain sits just behind at 16.6% on the strength of its cohesive, high-pressing style that delivered the most recent European Championship and consistent results through qualifiers. England, Brazil, and Argentina cluster tightly around 11-9% on the back of strong historical records, deep squads, and favorable group-stage paths in the expanded 48-team field. This narrow spread among the top six reflects broad trader consensus on the parity across elite European and South American sides, where minor roster tweaks or early results could quickly shift momentum heading into June.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPháp 17.3%
Tây Ban Nha 16.6%
Anh 11.3%
Brazil 9.2%
$997,731,829 KL.
$997,731,829 KL.
Pháp
17%
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Anh
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
9%
Bồ Đào Nha
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
3%
Na Uy
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Pháp 17.3%
Tây Ban Nha 16.6%
Anh 11.3%
Brazil 9.2%
$997,731,829 KL.
$997,731,829 KL.
Pháp
17%
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Anh
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
9%
Bồ Đào Nha
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
3%
Na Uy
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 17.3% implied probability thanks to its experienced core from the 2018 title and 2022 final, combined with recent friendly wins and an unmatched attacking depth featuring Kylian Mbappé. Spain sits just behind at 16.6% on the strength of its cohesive, high-pressing style that delivered the most recent European Championship and consistent results through qualifiers. England, Brazil, and Argentina cluster tightly around 11-9% on the back of strong historical records, deep squads, and favorable group-stage paths in the expanded 48-team field. This narrow spread among the top six reflects broad trader consensus on the parity across elite European and South American sides, where minor roster tweaks or early results could quickly shift momentum heading into June.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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