The 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market shows a tightly bunched group of favorites, with France at 18.3% implied probability edging Spain at 16.7% on the strength of deep attacking options and consistent Nations League results. England sits at 11.3% thanks to squad balance and strong recent form in qualifiers, while Brazil and Argentina hover near 9% on historical pedigree and star quality despite transitional phases. Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands follow in the 3-8% range, each carrying advantages in midfield control and recent tournament experience. This competitive spread persists because multiple sides possess versatile rosters suited to the expanded 48-team format and North American venues, with final positioning likely decided by late form, injury updates, and draw placement ahead of the June kickoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPháp 18.3%
Tây Ban Nha 16.7%
Anh 11.3%
Brazil 9.2%
$1,014,101,126 KL.
$1,014,101,126 KL.
Pháp
18%
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Anh
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
8%
Bồ Đào Nha
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
3%
Na Uy
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Pháp 18.3%
Tây Ban Nha 16.7%
Anh 11.3%
Brazil 9.2%
$1,014,101,126 KL.
$1,014,101,126 KL.
Pháp
18%
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Anh
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
8%
Bồ Đào Nha
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
3%
Na Uy
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market shows a tightly bunched group of favorites, with France at 18.3% implied probability edging Spain at 16.7% on the strength of deep attacking options and consistent Nations League results. England sits at 11.3% thanks to squad balance and strong recent form in qualifiers, while Brazil and Argentina hover near 9% on historical pedigree and star quality despite transitional phases. Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands follow in the 3-8% range, each carrying advantages in midfield control and recent tournament experience. This competitive spread persists because multiple sides possess versatile rosters suited to the expanded 48-team format and North American venues, with final positioning likely decided by late form, injury updates, and draw placement ahead of the June kickoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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