France currently leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 17.9% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Spain at 16.8%, with England, Brazil, and Argentina clustered just behind, reflecting a deep pool of contenders rather than a clear frontrunner. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong Nations League performances underscore their technical cohesion and emerging talent, while France benefits from squad depth and forward firepower despite recent transitional phases. England’s consistent qualifying results and tactical evolution under recent leadership keep them in contention, as do Brazil and Argentina’s historical pedigree and ongoing Copa America momentum. The tight spread across top European and South American sides stems from unpredictable qualification paths, injury risks to key players, and the expanded 48-team format that rewards balanced rosters and home-soil advantages for North American hosts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPháp 17.9%
Tây Ban Nha 16.8%
Anh 11.5%
Brazil 9.2%
$1,005,341,505 KL.
$1,005,341,505 KL.
Pháp
18%
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Anh
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
9%
Bồ Đào Nha
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
3%
Na Uy
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Pháp 17.9%
Tây Ban Nha 16.8%
Anh 11.5%
Brazil 9.2%
$1,005,341,505 KL.
$1,005,341,505 KL.
Pháp
18%
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Anh
11%
Brazil
9%
Argentina
9%
Bồ Đào Nha
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
3%
Na Uy
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Bỉ
2%
Colombia
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Ma-rốc
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Mexico
1%
Croatia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Austria
1%
Sweden
1%
Canada
<1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Iran
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France currently leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 17.9% implied probability, narrowly ahead of Spain at 16.8%, with England, Brazil, and Argentina clustered just behind, reflecting a deep pool of contenders rather than a clear frontrunner. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued strong Nations League performances underscore their technical cohesion and emerging talent, while France benefits from squad depth and forward firepower despite recent transitional phases. England’s consistent qualifying results and tactical evolution under recent leadership keep them in contention, as do Brazil and Argentina’s historical pedigree and ongoing Copa America momentum. The tight spread across top European and South American sides stems from unpredictable qualification paths, injury risks to key players, and the expanded 48-team format that rewards balanced rosters and home-soil advantages for North American hosts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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