Oklahoma City Thunder's commanding playoff run, including a 4-0 sweep of the Phoenix Suns and a 3-1 Western Conference Semifinals lead over the Los Angeles Lakers after a 115-110 Game 4 win on May 11, has solidified their 59.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite, fueled by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's elite form and unmatched depth amid widespread injuries across the league. San Antonio Spurs hold 20.5% after grabbing a 3-2 edge versus the Minnesota Timberwolves in the other West semis, powered by Victor Wembanyama's playoff career-high scoring outbursts. New York Knicks sit at 14.1% following sweeps of the Atlanta Hawks and Philadelphia 76ers to reach the Eastern Conference Finals on a franchise-record seven-game postseason win streak, rested while Detroit Pistons and Cleveland Cavaliers battle a tied 2-2 series; trailing Pistons (3.9%) and Cavaliers (2.5%) reflect their vulnerability, with Timberwolves (0.8%) fading against Spurs momentum.