Javokhir Sindarov leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the 2026 FIDE World Chess Championship after dominating the Candidates Tournament with a 10/14 score and clinching first place a round early in April. His surge included five wins in six games, establishing clear momentum and a current live rating edge of roughly 74 points over the defending champion. Gukesh Dommaraju, at 30.5%, enters as the titleholder following his 2024 victory but has posted inconsistent results since, creating a matchup of two 20-year-olds in Geneva from November 25 to December 15. Market pricing reflects Sindarov’s recent form and rating superiority while acknowledging Gukesh’s experience defending the crown in a best-of-14 format.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
$61,878 KL.
$61,878 KL.
Javokhir Sindarov
70%
Gukesh Dommaraju
31%
$61,878 KL.
$61,878 KL.
Javokhir Sindarov
70%
Gukesh Dommaraju
31%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Javokhir Sindarov leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability for the 2026 FIDE World Chess Championship after dominating the Candidates Tournament with a 10/14 score and clinching first place a round early in April. His surge included five wins in six games, establishing clear momentum and a current live rating edge of roughly 74 points over the defending champion. Gukesh Dommaraju, at 30.5%, enters as the titleholder following his 2024 victory but has posted inconsistent results since, creating a matchup of two 20-year-olds in Geneva from November 25 to December 15. Market pricing reflects Sindarov’s recent form and rating superiority while acknowledging Gukesh’s experience defending the crown in a best-of-14 format.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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