The competitive toss-up nature of Alaska’s U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola drives much of the market positioning, with recent polls showing margins within the margin of error and most forecasters rating the contest as a toss-up ahead of the August 18 top-four primary. The open gubernatorial contest, following term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a crowded field of Republicans and Democrats under ranked-choice voting, producing fragmented early polling that heightens uncertainty about party control. These dynamics elevate the implied probability of split outcomes or other results, as traders assess vote-splitting risks, fundraising edges, and the impact of the November general election ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDems sweep 35%
Reps sweep 32%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 20%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
35%
Reps sweep
32%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
20%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
17%
Dems sweep 35%
Reps sweep 32%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 20%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Dems sweep
$75 KL.
35%
Reps sweep
$0 KL.
32%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
$0 KL.
20%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
$20 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
The competitive toss-up nature of Alaska’s U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola drives much of the market positioning, with recent polls showing margins within the margin of error and most forecasters rating the contest as a toss-up ahead of the August 18 top-four primary. The open gubernatorial contest, following term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a crowded field of Republicans and Democrats under ranked-choice voting, producing fragmented early polling that heightens uncertainty about party control. These dynamics elevate the implied probability of split outcomes or other results, as traders assess vote-splitting risks, fundraising edges, and the impact of the November general election ballot.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
The competitive toss-up nature of Alaska’s U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola drives much of the market positioning, with recent polls showing margins within the margin of error and most forecasters rating the contest as a toss-up ahead of the August 18 top-four primary. The open gubernatorial contest, following term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a crowded field of Republicans and Democrats under ranked-choice voting, producing fragmented early polling that heightens uncertainty about party control. These dynamics elevate the implied probability of split outcomes or other results, as traders assess vote-splitting risks, fundraising edges, and the impact of the November general election ballot.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$95Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 11:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive toss-up nature of Alaska’s U.S. Senate race between incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola drives much of the market positioning, with recent polls showing margins within the margin of error and most forecasters rating the contest as a toss-up ahead of the August 18 top-four primary. The open gubernatorial contest, following term limits on Republican Mike Dunleavy, features a crowded field of Republicans and Democrats under ranked-choice voting, producing fragmented early polling that heightens uncertainty about party control. These dynamics elevate the implied probability of split outcomes or other results, as traders assess vote-splitting risks, fundraising edges, and the impact of the November general election ballot.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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