Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Popular (PP) at 99.6% to win the most seats in Andalusia's regional parliament election on May 17, driven by final polls like NC Report's projection of 58 seats for incumbent president Juanma Moreno—securing an absolute majority—versus PSOE-A's 28 amid María Jesús Montero's struggling campaign focused on public health critiques. Consistent polling averages place PP near 42-45%, building on Moreno's 2022 absolute majority breakthrough and incumbency edge in proportional representation across 109 seats. PSOE-A, VOX, Adelante Andalucía, and Partido Andalucista trail far behind. Only extraordinary late disruptions like scandals, health issues, or anomalous turnout could challenge this positioning before polls close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPP 99.6%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
AA <1%
$105,571 KL.
$105,571 KL.
May 17, 2026
PP
100%
PSOE-A
<1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.6%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
AA <1%
$105,571 KL.
$105,571 KL.
May 17, 2026
PP
$30,091 KL.
100%
PSOE-A
$39,144 KL.
<1%
VOX
$26,786 KL.
<1%
PA
$5,124 KL.
<1%
AA
$4,426 KL.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Popular (PP) at 99.6% to win the most seats in Andalusia's regional parliament election on May 17, driven by final polls like NC Report's projection of 58 seats for incumbent president Juanma Moreno—securing an absolute majority—versus PSOE-A's 28 amid María Jesús Montero's struggling campaign focused on public health critiques. Consistent polling averages place PP near 42-45%, building on Moreno's 2022 absolute majority breakthrough and incumbency edge in proportional representation across 109 seats. PSOE-A, VOX, Adelante Andalucía, and Partido Andalucista trail far behind. Only extraordinary late disruptions like scandals, health issues, or anomalous turnout could challenge this positioning before polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$105,571Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Popular (PP) at 99.6% to win the most seats in Andalusia's regional parliament election on May 17, driven by final polls like NC Report's projection of 58 seats for incumbent president Juanma Moreno—securing an absolute majority—versus PSOE-A's 28 amid María Jesús Montero's struggling campaign focused on public health critiques. Consistent polling averages place PP near 42-45%, building on Moreno's 2022 absolute majority breakthrough and incumbency edge in proportional representation across 109 seats. PSOE-A, VOX, Adelante Andalucía, and Partido Andalucista trail far behind. Only extraordinary late disruptions like scandals, health issues, or anomalous turnout could challenge this positioning before polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Khối lượng
$105,571Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Partido Popular (PP) at 99.6% to win the most seats in Andalusia's regional parliament election on May 17, driven by final polls like NC Report's projection of 58 seats for incumbent president Juanma Moreno—securing an absolute majority—versus PSOE-A's 28 amid María Jesús Montero's struggling campaign focused on public health critiques. Consistent polling averages place PP near 42-45%, building on Moreno's 2022 absolute majority breakthrough and incumbency edge in proportional representation across 109 seats. PSOE-A, VOX, Adelante Andalucía, and Partido Andalucista trail far behind. Only extraordinary late disruptions like scandals, health issues, or anomalous turnout could challenge this positioning before polls close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp