Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs maintains early leads in general election polling against Republican primary frontrunner Andy Biggs, reflecting her incumbency advantage in this battleground state. Recent surveys, including those from Noble Predictive Insights and RealClearPolitics averages through April 2026, show Hobbs ahead by margins of five to seven points in hypothetical matchups, consistent with her 2022 victory despite its narrow margin. Biggs has consolidated support in the Republican primary ahead of the July 21 vote, narrowing the field after Karrin Taylor Robson's earlier positioning, yet general election trends continue to favor the Democratic side. Trader consensus prices reflect these polling patterns and the structural benefits of holding the office, with limited major developments since the start of the cycle to shift the balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtArizona Governor Election Winner
Arizona Governor Election Winner
$42,525 KL.
$42,525 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
75%
Republican
25%
$42,525 KL.
$42,525 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$22,827 KL.
75%
Republican
$19,698 KL.
25%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs maintains early leads in general election polling against Republican primary frontrunner Andy Biggs, reflecting her incumbency advantage in this battleground state. Recent surveys, including those from Noble Predictive Insights and RealClearPolitics averages through April 2026, show Hobbs ahead by margins of five to seven points in hypothetical matchups, consistent with her 2022 victory despite its narrow margin. Biggs has consolidated support in the Republican primary ahead of the July 21 vote, narrowing the field after Karrin Taylor Robson's earlier positioning, yet general election trends continue to favor the Democratic side. Trader consensus prices reflect these polling patterns and the structural benefits of holding the office, with limited major developments since the start of the cycle to shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$42,525Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs maintains early leads in general election polling against Republican primary frontrunner Andy Biggs, reflecting her incumbency advantage in this battleground state. Recent surveys, including those from Noble Predictive Insights and RealClearPolitics averages through April 2026, show Hobbs ahead by margins of five to seven points in hypothetical matchups, consistent with her 2022 victory despite its narrow margin. Biggs has consolidated support in the Republican primary ahead of the July 21 vote, narrowing the field after Karrin Taylor Robson's earlier positioning, yet general election trends continue to favor the Democratic side. Trader consensus prices reflect these polling patterns and the structural benefits of holding the office, with limited major developments since the start of the cycle to shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$42,525Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Katie Hobbs maintains early leads in general election polling against Republican primary frontrunner Andy Biggs, reflecting her incumbency advantage in this battleground state. Recent surveys, including those from Noble Predictive Insights and RealClearPolitics averages through April 2026, show Hobbs ahead by margins of five to seven points in hypothetical matchups, consistent with her 2022 victory despite its narrow margin. Biggs has consolidated support in the Republican primary ahead of the July 21 vote, narrowing the field after Karrin Taylor Robson's earlier positioning, yet general election trends continue to favor the Democratic side. Trader consensus prices reflect these polling patterns and the structural benefits of holding the office, with limited major developments since the start of the cycle to shift the balance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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