Ousmane Dembélé leads trader consensus at 29% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or after his decisive early goal secured PSG's 6-5 aggregate Champions League semi-final victory over Bayern Munich last week, propelling the defending champions to the Budapest final against Arsenal and positioning him for back-to-back contention following his 2025 win. Harry Kane sits second at 18% on a prolific Bundesliga campaign with over 30 goals, though Bayern's elimination tempers his case absent major international breakthroughs at the upcoming World Cup. Declan Rice's 11% reflects Arsenal's strong final run and Premier League title push, differentiating midfield dominance, while Kylian Mbappé and Lamine Yamal trail amid Real Madrid and Barcelona's inconsistent European form, highlighting the premium on Champions League success in a wide-open race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng Ballon d'Or 2026
Người chiến thắng Ballon d'Or 2026
Ousmane Dembélé 29.3%
Harry Kane 18.0%
Declan Rice 10.7%
Kylian Mbappé 10%
$3,238,251 KL.
$3,238,251 KL.
Ousmane Dembélé
29%
Harry Kane
18%
Declan Rice
11%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Lamine Yamal
10%
Vitinha
8%
Michael Olise
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Pedri
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Raphinha
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Ousmane Dembélé 29.3%
Harry Kane 18.0%
Declan Rice 10.7%
Kylian Mbappé 10%
$3,238,251 KL.
$3,238,251 KL.
Ousmane Dembélé
29%
Harry Kane
18%
Declan Rice
11%
Kylian Mbappé
10%
Lamine Yamal
10%
Vitinha
8%
Michael Olise
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Pedri
1%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Raphinha
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ousmane Dembélé leads trader consensus at 29% implied probability for the 2026 Ballon d'Or after his decisive early goal secured PSG's 6-5 aggregate Champions League semi-final victory over Bayern Munich last week, propelling the defending champions to the Budapest final against Arsenal and positioning him for back-to-back contention following his 2025 win. Harry Kane sits second at 18% on a prolific Bundesliga campaign with over 30 goals, though Bayern's elimination tempers his case absent major international breakthroughs at the upcoming World Cup. Declan Rice's 11% reflects Arsenal's strong final run and Premier League title push, differentiating midfield dominance, while Kylian Mbappé and Lamine Yamal trail amid Real Madrid and Barcelona's inconsistent European form, highlighting the premium on Champions League success in a wide-open race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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