Harry Kane leads trader consensus at 58.1% implied probability, driven by his record 73-goal club campaign for Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga title plus domestic cups, plus six World Cup goals that carried England to the semifinals. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.4% on the strength of another productive Barcelona season and Spain’s strong tournament showing, keeping the teenage forward in the conversation despite Kane’s superior volume. Rodri, Kylian Mbappé, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia occupy mid-tier pricing around 5–7.5% on the back of their respective club and international contributions, while lower-probability names reflect more limited 2025-26 output or earlier exits. Recent post-World Cup market movement has reinforced Kane’s edge as the clearest individual performer across club and country.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHarry Kane 58.7%
Lamine Yamal 16.4%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.5%
$28,380,442 KL.
$28,380,442 KL.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 58.7%
Lamine Yamal 16.4%
Rodri 8%
Kylian Mbappé 7.5%
$28,380,442 KL.
$28,380,442 KL.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
8%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
5%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads trader consensus at 58.1% implied probability, driven by his record 73-goal club campaign for Bayern Munich that delivered the Bundesliga title plus domestic cups, plus six World Cup goals that carried England to the semifinals. Lamine Yamal sits at 16.4% on the strength of another productive Barcelona season and Spain’s strong tournament showing, keeping the teenage forward in the conversation despite Kane’s superior volume. Rodri, Kylian Mbappé, and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia occupy mid-tier pricing around 5–7.5% on the back of their respective club and international contributions, while lower-probability names reflect more limited 2025-26 output or earlier exits. Recent post-World Cup market movement has reinforced Kane’s edge as the clearest individual performer across club and country.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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