Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 55.4% implied probability following his record 61-goal 2025-26 club season at Bayern Munich and six World Cup strikes for England, which elevated him ahead of peers despite the final result. Lamine Yamal sits second at 21.3% on the strength of his breakout Barcelona and Spain displays as a teenage phenom. Kylian Mbappé (8.8%), Rodri (6.5%), and Lionel Messi (2.9%) trail amid strong but less dominant campaigns across club and international fixtures. Trader pricing reflects Kane's unmatched goal-scoring volume and consistency in a post-World Cup window, with Yamal's rapid rise providing the clearest alternative path while older or less prolific contenders see compressed odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHarry Kane 55.4%
Lamine Yamal 21.3%
Kylian Mbappé 8.8%
Rodri 7%
$27,209,905 KL.
$27,209,905 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
55%
Lamine Yamal
21%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Rodri
7%
Lionel Messi
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 55.4%
Lamine Yamal 21.3%
Kylian Mbappé 8.8%
Rodri 7%
$27,209,905 KL.
$27,209,905 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$3,154,458 KL.
55%
Lamine Yamal
$1,674,326 KL.
21%
Kylian Mbappé
$1,454,928 KL.
9%
Rodri
$963,581 KL.
7%
Lionel Messi
$1,784,394 KL.
3%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$976,002 KL.
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
$1,667,949 KL.
2%
Fabian Ruiz
$779,563 KL.
1%
Erling Haaland
$1,054,162 KL.
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
$774,130 KL.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$982,653 KL.
<1%
Declan Rice
$777,263 KL.
<1%
Vitinha
$662,066 KL.
<1%
Michael Olise
$976,899 KL.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$1,056,607 KL.
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
$1,065,399 KL.
<1%
Pedri
$876,521 KL.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$676,975 KL.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$730,868 KL.
<1%
Raphinha
$693,084 KL.
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
$685,007 KL.
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
$485,117 KL.
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$446,367 KL.
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
$65,053 KL.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$445,610 KL.
<1%
Desire Doue
$723,572 KL.
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
$737,997 KL.
<1%
Luis Diaz
$438,259 KL.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$167,259 KL.
<1%
Rodrygo
$87,103 KL.
<1%
Bukayo Saka
$146,735 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 55.4% implied probability following his record 61-goal 2025-26 club season at Bayern Munich and six World Cup strikes for England, which elevated him ahead of peers despite the final result. Lamine Yamal sits second at 21.3% on the strength of his breakout Barcelona and Spain displays as a teenage phenom. Kylian Mbappé (8.8%), Rodri (6.5%), and Lionel Messi (2.9%) trail amid strong but less dominant campaigns across club and international fixtures. Trader pricing reflects Kane's unmatched goal-scoring volume and consistency in a post-World Cup window, with Yamal's rapid rise providing the clearest alternative path while older or less prolific contenders see compressed odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,209,905Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 55.4% implied probability following his record 61-goal 2025-26 club season at Bayern Munich and six World Cup strikes for England, which elevated him ahead of peers despite the final result. Lamine Yamal sits second at 21.3% on the strength of his breakout Barcelona and Spain displays as a teenage phenom. Kylian Mbappé (8.8%), Rodri (6.5%), and Lionel Messi (2.9%) trail amid strong but less dominant campaigns across club and international fixtures. Trader pricing reflects Kane's unmatched goal-scoring volume and consistency in a post-World Cup window, with Yamal's rapid rise providing the clearest alternative path while older or less prolific contenders see compressed odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Khối lượng
$27,209,905Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 55.4% implied probability following his record 61-goal 2025-26 club season at Bayern Munich and six World Cup strikes for England, which elevated him ahead of peers despite the final result. Lamine Yamal sits second at 21.3% on the strength of his breakout Barcelona and Spain displays as a teenage phenom. Kylian Mbappé (8.8%), Rodri (6.5%), and Lionel Messi (2.9%) trail amid strong but less dominant campaigns across club and international fixtures. Trader pricing reflects Kane's unmatched goal-scoring volume and consistency in a post-World Cup window, with Yamal's rapid rise providing the clearest alternative path while older or less prolific contenders see compressed odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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