Ousmane Dembélé leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 24.9 percent implied probability after a late-season surge that included a brace at Anfield and three goals across PSG’s Champions League semifinal win over Bayern Munich, building on his 2025 triumph and Ligue 1 title. Harry Kane sits second at 18.1 percent on the back of 59 Bundesliga goals and domestic silverware, yet Bayern’s earlier European exit has kept the gap narrow. Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Vitinha remain within striking distance thanks to consistent high-level contributions across club competitions. With the top contenders separated by just a handful of points and the World Cup still ahead, trader sentiment reflects the absence of any single dominant narrative.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng Ballon d'Or 2026
Người chiến thắng Ballon d'Or 2026
Ousmane Dembélé 24.6%
Harry Kane 17.9%
Kylian Mbappé 9%
Lamine Yamal 9%
$3,272,406 KL.
$3,272,406 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Ousmane Dembélé
25%
Harry Kane
18%
Kylian Mbappé
9%
Lamine Yamal
9%
Declan Rice
8%
Vitinha
8%
Michael Olise
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Bruno Fernandes
2%
Vinícius Júnior
1%
Erling Haaland
1%
Pedri
1%
Desire Doue
1%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Federico Valverde
1%
Julian Alvarez
1%
Raphinha
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Ousmane Dembélé 24.6%
Harry Kane 17.9%
Kylian Mbappé 9%
Lamine Yamal 9%
$3,272,406 KL.
$3,272,406 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Ousmane Dembélé
$388,194 KL.
25%
Harry Kane
$709,050 KL.
18%
Kylian Mbappé
$125,793 KL.
9%
Lamine Yamal
$76,340 KL.
9%
Declan Rice
$45,087 KL.
8%
Vitinha
$47,064 KL.
8%
Michael Olise
$78,707 KL.
6%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$47,386 KL.
4%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$42,349 KL.
3%
Bruno Fernandes
$31,042 KL.
2%
Vinícius Júnior
$467,014 KL.
1%
Erling Haaland
$258,558 KL.
1%
Pedri
$276,667 KL.
1%
Desire Doue
$24,383 KL.
1%
Achraf Hakimi
$22,871 KL.
1%
Federico Valverde
$27,423 KL.
1%
Julian Alvarez
$24,652 KL.
1%
Raphinha
$28,640 KL.
1%
Lautaro Martinez
$20,209 KL.
1%
Luis Diaz
$36,036 KL.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$211,530 KL.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$169,699 KL.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$61,048 KL.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$52,676 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Ousmane Dembélé leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 24.9 percent implied probability after a late-season surge that included a brace at Anfield and three goals across PSG’s Champions League semifinal win over Bayern Munich, building on his 2025 triumph and Ligue 1 title. Harry Kane sits second at 18.1 percent on the back of 59 Bundesliga goals and domestic silverware, yet Bayern’s earlier European exit has kept the gap narrow. Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Vitinha remain within striking distance thanks to consistent high-level contributions across club competitions. With the top contenders separated by just a handful of points and the World Cup still ahead, trader sentiment reflects the absence of any single dominant narrative.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,272,406Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Ousmane Dembélé leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 24.9 percent implied probability after a late-season surge that included a brace at Anfield and three goals across PSG’s Champions League semifinal win over Bayern Munich, building on his 2025 triumph and Ligue 1 title. Harry Kane sits second at 18.1 percent on the back of 59 Bundesliga goals and domestic silverware, yet Bayern’s earlier European exit has kept the gap narrow. Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Vitinha remain within striking distance thanks to consistent high-level contributions across club competitions. With the top contenders separated by just a handful of points and the World Cup still ahead, trader sentiment reflects the absence of any single dominant narrative.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Khối lượng
$3,272,406Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ousmane Dembélé leads the 2026 Ballon d’Or market at 24.9 percent implied probability after a late-season surge that included a brace at Anfield and three goals across PSG’s Champions League semifinal win over Bayern Munich, building on his 2025 triumph and Ligue 1 title. Harry Kane sits second at 18.1 percent on the back of 59 Bundesliga goals and domestic silverware, yet Bayern’s earlier European exit has kept the gap narrow. Lamine Yamal, Declan Rice, and Vitinha remain within striking distance thanks to consistent high-level contributions across club competitions. With the top contenders separated by just a handful of points and the World Cup still ahead, trader sentiment reflects the absence of any single dominant narrative.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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