Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 59.5% implied probability due to his standout 2025/26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where prolific goal contributions and consistency across domestic competitions positioned him as the frontrunner entering the World Cup. His England performances, including multiple goals and all-time scoring milestones, further reinforced trader sentiment despite the team's semifinal exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.7% following Spain's World Cup triumph and his decisive contributions there, though his Barcelona form has not yet matched Kane's volume. Rodri (9.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (8.3%) trail amid strong but less dominant club and international outputs this cycle, while lower-priced names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia reflect solid seasons without the same trophy or statistical weight. Market pricing reflects post-tournament adjustments favoring Kane's overall body of work.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHarry Kane 59.5%
Lamine Yamal 15.7%
Rodri 10%
Kylian Mbappé 8.3%
$29,163,005 KL.
$29,163,005 KL.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
10%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 59.5%
Lamine Yamal 15.7%
Rodri 10%
Kylian Mbappé 8.3%
$29,163,005 KL.
$29,163,005 KL.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
10%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 59.5% implied probability due to his standout 2025/26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where prolific goal contributions and consistency across domestic competitions positioned him as the frontrunner entering the World Cup. His England performances, including multiple goals and all-time scoring milestones, further reinforced trader sentiment despite the team's semifinal exit. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.7% following Spain's World Cup triumph and his decisive contributions there, though his Barcelona form has not yet matched Kane's volume. Rodri (9.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (8.3%) trail amid strong but less dominant club and international outputs this cycle, while lower-priced names like Khvicha Kvaratskhelia reflect solid seasons without the same trophy or statistical weight. Market pricing reflects post-tournament adjustments favoring Kane's overall body of work.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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