Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBallon d'Or Winner 2026
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Harry Kane 21.6%
Kylian Mbappé 17%
Ousmane Dembélé 16.4%
Lamine Yamal 11%
$4,639,217 KL.
$4,639,217 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
22%
Kylian Mbappé
17%
Ousmane Dembélé
16%
Lamine Yamal
11%
Lionel Messi
10%
Michael Olise
6%
Vitinha
5%
Declan Rice
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
3%
Vinícius Júnior
2%
Erling Haaland
2%
Achraf Hakimi
1%
Lautaro Martinez
1%
Pedri
1%
Bruno Fernandes
1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Desire Doue
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Harry Kane 21.6%
Kylian Mbappé 17%
Ousmane Dembélé 16.4%
Lamine Yamal 11%
$4,639,217 KL.
$4,639,217 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Harry Kane
$764,969 KL.
22%
Kylian Mbappé
$179,509 KL.
17%
Ousmane Dembélé
$589,952 KL.
16%
Lamine Yamal
$104,768 KL.
11%
Lionel Messi
$38,675 KL.
10%
Michael Olise
$112,064 KL.
6%
Vitinha
$81,754 KL.
5%
Declan Rice
$84,883 KL.
3%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$90,283 KL.
3%
Vinícius Júnior
$486,555 KL.
2%
Erling Haaland
$297,380 KL.
2%
Achraf Hakimi
$40,428 KL.
1%
Lautaro Martinez
$55,706 KL.
1%
Pedri
$299,614 KL.
1%
Bruno Fernandes
$60,889 KL.
1%
Luis Diaz
$50,771 KL.
<1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
$89,863 KL.
<1%
Julian Alvarez
$48,087 KL.
<1%
Desire Doue
$45,487 KL.
<1%
Jude Bellingham
$286,922 KL.
<1%
Mohamed Salah
$417,633 KL.
<1%
Cole Palmer
$195,449 KL.
<1%
Raphinha
$70,819 KL.
<1%
Federico Valverde
$47,480 KL.
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
$99,278 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,639,217Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Khối lượng
$4,639,217Ngày kết thúc
Oct 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads Ballon d'Or 2026 trader sentiment at 30.6% implied probability due to his record goal output and domestic honors with Bayern Munich in the 2025-26 campaign, positioning the England captain as the standout individual performer heading into the World Cup. Kylian Mbappé (12.5%), Lamine Yamal (11.0%), Michael Olise (10.5%), and Ousmane Dembélé (9.3%) follow, reflecting strong club seasons at Real Madrid, Barcelona, and PSG alongside France's depth. Vitinha (8.0%) and others benefit from similar European consistency. The approaching World Cup represents the primary near-term variable that could elevate or diminish candidates based on national team results and standout performances.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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