Patrick Mahomes leads the market at 52% implied probability due to his ongoing recovery from the 2025 season-ending ACL and LCL tear, with recent training camp clearance and positive progress reports keeping Week 1 availability in question despite the Chiefs' long-term commitment shown in his June 2026 contract restructure and extension through 2033. Justin Fields sits at 6.8% as the clear backup on the official depth chart after joining the roster, while veterans like Gardner Minshew and Joe Flacco hover near 5-6% amid typical offseason speculation over emergency options. Chris Oladokun remains a distant 0.9% as a practice-squad holdover with limited starter upside. The wisdom of crowds in these prices reflects the tension between Mahomes' proven elite form when healthy and the inherent uncertainty around a multi-ligament knee timeline this close to the opener.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPatrick Mahomes 53%
Chris Oladokun <1%
Joe Flacco <1%
Justin Fields 0
$12,717 KL.
$12,717 KL.
Patrick Mahomes
53%
Chris Oladokun
1%
Joe Flacco
1%
Justin Fields
44%
Gardner Minshew
40%
Patrick Mahomes 53%
Chris Oladokun <1%
Joe Flacco <1%
Justin Fields 0
$12,717 KL.
$12,717 KL.
Patrick Mahomes
53%
Chris Oladokun
1%
Joe Flacco
1%
Justin Fields
44%
Gardner Minshew
40%
If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 2:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the Chiefs do not name a single player as the starting quarterback, the market will resolve based on the player who takes the most snaps at quarterback during their first offensive drive of the game. If multiple players take the same number of snaps on the Chiefs’ first offensive drive, the market will resolve to the player who took the first snap at quarterback.
This market may not resolve before the start of the Chiefs’ Week 1 regular season game.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the NFL (NFL.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Patrick Mahomes leads the market at 52% implied probability due to his ongoing recovery from the 2025 season-ending ACL and LCL tear, with recent training camp clearance and positive progress reports keeping Week 1 availability in question despite the Chiefs' long-term commitment shown in his June 2026 contract restructure and extension through 2033. Justin Fields sits at 6.8% as the clear backup on the official depth chart after joining the roster, while veterans like Gardner Minshew and Joe Flacco hover near 5-6% amid typical offseason speculation over emergency options. Chris Oladokun remains a distant 0.9% as a practice-squad holdover with limited starter upside. The wisdom of crowds in these prices reflects the tension between Mahomes' proven elite form when healthy and the inherent uncertainty around a multi-ligament knee timeline this close to the opener.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp