Cepeda’s established base in Bogotá, where left-leaning urban voters backed Petro’s Historic Pact in prior cycles, underpins his 56.5% implied probability for the most votes there in the June 21 runoff. De la Espriella’s 40.5% reflects stronger rural and conservative consolidation after his first-round plurality, yet Bogotá’s demographics and turnout patterns limit his inroads despite endorsements from figures like Valencia and Trump. Centrist holdouts from Fajardo and Lopez remain fluid, with late mobilization or regional turnout shifts capable of narrowing the gap before official results from the Registraduría determine the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$56,712 KL.
$56,712 KL.
Jun 22, 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
56%
Abelardo de la Espriella
41%
$56,712 KL.
$56,712 KL.
Jun 22, 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro
$16,437 KL.
56%
Abelardo de la Espriella
$40,275 KL.
41%
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Cepeda’s established base in Bogotá, where left-leaning urban voters backed Petro’s Historic Pact in prior cycles, underpins his 56.5% implied probability for the most votes there in the June 21 runoff. De la Espriella’s 40.5% reflects stronger rural and conservative consolidation after his first-round plurality, yet Bogotá’s demographics and turnout patterns limit his inroads despite endorsements from figures like Valencia and Trump. Centrist holdouts from Fajardo and Lopez remain fluid, with late mobilization or regional turnout shifts capable of narrowing the gap before official results from the Registraduría determine the market.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Thị trường mở: Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$56,712Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Cepeda’s established base in Bogotá, where left-leaning urban voters backed Petro’s Historic Pact in prior cycles, underpins his 56.5% implied probability for the most votes there in the June 21 runoff. De la Espriella’s 40.5% reflects stronger rural and conservative consolidation after his first-round plurality, yet Bogotá’s demographics and turnout patterns limit his inroads despite endorsements from figures like Valencia and Trump. Centrist holdouts from Fajardo and Lopez remain fluid, with late mobilization or regional turnout shifts capable of narrowing the gap before official results from the Registraduría determine the market.
The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the second round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the second round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Khối lượng
$56,712Ngày kết thúc
Jun 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 5, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cepeda’s established base in Bogotá, where left-leaning urban voters backed Petro’s Historic Pact in prior cycles, underpins his 56.5% implied probability for the most votes there in the June 21 runoff. De la Espriella’s 40.5% reflects stronger rural and conservative consolidation after his first-round plurality, yet Bogotá’s demographics and turnout patterns limit his inroads despite endorsements from figures like Valencia and Trump. Centrist holdouts from Fajardo and Lopez remain fluid, with late mobilization or regional turnout shifts capable of narrowing the gap before official results from the Registraduría determine the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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