Ongoing containment of the localized Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, which began in May 2026 and has produced roughly 4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,100 deaths as of mid-August, underpins traders' strong consensus against a 2026 pandemic. Official data from WHO, CDC, and national health ministries show sustained transmission primarily in remote eastern DRC provinces with very limited exported cases, including Uganda's outbreak now declared over after just 20 cases. Historical epidemiology indicates low risk of widespread international spread for this orthoebolavirus strain, which lacks approved vaccines or treatments, while aggressive contact tracing and isolation continue. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include undetected expansion into major urban centers, sustained cross-border transmission to additional countries, or a significant increase in transmissibility that meets pandemic criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% khả năng
$692,028 KL.
$692,028 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
4% khả năng
$692,028 KL.
$692,028 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing containment of the localized Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, which began in May 2026 and has produced roughly 4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,100 deaths as of mid-August, underpins traders' strong consensus against a 2026 pandemic. Official data from WHO, CDC, and national health ministries show sustained transmission primarily in remote eastern DRC provinces with very limited exported cases, including Uganda's outbreak now declared over after just 20 cases. Historical epidemiology indicates low risk of widespread international spread for this orthoebolavirus strain, which lacks approved vaccines or treatments, while aggressive contact tracing and isolation continue. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include undetected expansion into major urban centers, sustained cross-border transmission to additional countries, or a significant increase in transmissibility that meets pandemic criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$692,028Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing containment of the localized Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, which began in May 2026 and has produced roughly 4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,100 deaths as of mid-August, underpins traders' strong consensus against a 2026 pandemic. Official data from WHO, CDC, and national health ministries show sustained transmission primarily in remote eastern DRC provinces with very limited exported cases, including Uganda's outbreak now declared over after just 20 cases. Historical epidemiology indicates low risk of widespread international spread for this orthoebolavirus strain, which lacks approved vaccines or treatments, while aggressive contact tracing and isolation continue. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include undetected expansion into major urban centers, sustained cross-border transmission to additional countries, or a significant increase in transmissibility that meets pandemic criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$692,028Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing containment of the localized Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, which began in May 2026 and has produced roughly 4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,100 deaths as of mid-August, underpins traders' strong consensus against a 2026 pandemic. Official data from WHO, CDC, and national health ministries show sustained transmission primarily in remote eastern DRC provinces with very limited exported cases, including Uganda's outbreak now declared over after just 20 cases. Historical epidemiology indicates low risk of widespread international spread for this orthoebolavirus strain, which lacks approved vaccines or treatments, while aggressive contact tracing and isolation continue. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include undetected expansion into major urban centers, sustained cross-border transmission to additional countries, or a significant increase in transmissibility that meets pandemic criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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