Eileen Gu, a natural-born U.S. citizen by birthplace and parentage, faces no active denaturalization proceedings or qualifying offenses such as immigration fraud, espionage convictions, or concealment of criminal conduct that have prompted recent Justice Department actions against other naturalized individuals. Traders assign 98.5% probability to revocation not occurring because her profile shows no matching legal triggers, ongoing investigations, or policy shifts targeting high-profile athletes, despite persistent public debate over her decision to represent China in international competition while residing in the United States. Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include emergence of new evidence involving serious crimes or changes in enforcement priorities, though such developments remain absent from verified records.