**Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal contracts.** The main trial, involving more than 400 co-defendants, began in March 2026 at the Marmara prison complex and remains in the evidence and witness phase as of September 2026, with monthly custody reviews consistently rejecting release requests for him on flight-risk and evidentiary grounds. Other defendants have received conditional releases during the proceedings, but İmamoğlu has not. A separate September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month prison term and political-rights restrictions (subject to appeal), reinforcing the detention framework. No executive or procedural developments have emerged that would alter custody status before year-end, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% “No” probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật6% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
6% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal contracts.** The main trial, involving more than 400 co-defendants, began in March 2026 at the Marmara prison complex and remains in the evidence and witness phase as of September 2026, with monthly custody reviews consistently rejecting release requests for him on flight-risk and evidentiary grounds.
Other defendants have received conditional releases during the proceedings, but İmamoğlu has not. A separate September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month prison term and political-rights restrictions (subject to appeal), reinforcing the detention framework. No executive or procedural developments have emerged that would alter custody status before year-end, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% “No” probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,407Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal contracts.** The main trial, involving more than 400 co-defendants, began in March 2026 at the Marmara prison complex and remains in the evidence and witness phase as of September 2026, with monthly custody reviews consistently rejecting release requests for him on flight-risk and evidentiary grounds.
Other defendants have received conditional releases during the proceedings, but İmamoğlu has not. A separate September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month prison term and political-rights restrictions (subject to appeal), reinforcing the detention framework. No executive or procedural developments have emerged that would alter custody status before year-end, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% “No” probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$6,407Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**Turkish courts have kept Ekrem İmamoğlu in pretrial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, bribery, and organized-crime charges tied to Istanbul municipal contracts.** The main trial, involving more than 400 co-defendants, began in March 2026 at the Marmara prison complex and remains in the evidence and witness phase as of September 2026, with monthly custody reviews consistently rejecting release requests for him on flight-risk and evidentiary grounds. Other defendants have received conditional releases during the proceedings, but İmamoğlu has not. A separate September 11, 2026, conviction for insulting a public official added a two-year-one-month prison term and political-rights restrictions (subject to appeal), reinforcing the detention framework. No executive or procedural developments have emerged that would alter custody status before year-end, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 94.5% “No” probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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