Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election to complete Marco Rubio’s term, as traders price her party’s victory at 79.5 percent. Florida’s longstanding Republican tilt, Moody’s incumbency following her appointment by Governor Ron DeSantis, and consistent polling leads of seven to eight points over leading Democratic challengers such as Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin this consensus. Recent surveys through mid-May show Moody maintaining comfortable margins despite Democratic fundraising efforts and a crowded primary field. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$37,324 KL.
$37,324 KL.
Republican
80%
Democrat
18%
$37,324 KL.
$37,324 KL.
Republican
$19,980 KL.
80%
Democrat
$17,344 KL.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election to complete Marco Rubio’s term, as traders price her party’s victory at 79.5 percent. Florida’s longstanding Republican tilt, Moody’s incumbency following her appointment by Governor Ron DeSantis, and consistent polling leads of seven to eight points over leading Democratic challengers such as Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin this consensus. Recent surveys through mid-May show Moody maintaining comfortable margins despite Democratic fundraising efforts and a crowded primary field. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$37,324Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election to complete Marco Rubio’s term, as traders price her party’s victory at 79.5 percent. Florida’s longstanding Republican tilt, Moody’s incumbency following her appointment by Governor Ron DeSantis, and consistent polling leads of seven to eight points over leading Democratic challengers such as Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin this consensus. Recent surveys through mid-May show Moody maintaining comfortable margins despite Democratic fundraising efforts and a crowded primary field. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$37,324Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ashley Moody holds a commanding position in the 2026 Florida special Senate election to complete Marco Rubio’s term, as traders price her party’s victory at 79.5 percent. Florida’s longstanding Republican tilt, Moody’s incumbency following her appointment by Governor Ron DeSantis, and consistent polling leads of seven to eight points over leading Democratic challengers such as Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin this consensus. Recent surveys through mid-May show Moody maintaining comfortable margins despite Democratic fundraising efforts and a crowded primary field. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain the key upcoming catalysts that could refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp