Trader consensus favors Canceled at 54.5% for the France United Left primary—aimed at selecting a Nouveau Front Populaire presidential candidate—as negotiations stall amid threats of solo runs and party divisions. A May 5 Paris meeting featuring Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain, and PS leader Olivier Faure sought to revive the process, but Ruffin's recent affirmation he'll campaign independently without it, echoed by Tondelier, has deepened skepticism, alongside LFI opposition and PS hesitation over format. Tondelier leads candidates at 28.5% on her EELV prominence and prior polling edge, with Ruffin at 11.5% buoyed by his dissident appeal post-LFI exit; Benjamin Lucas-Lundy's May 14 candidacy declaration drew minimal traction. Party heads may pivot to direct designation ahead of the October resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFrance United Left Primary Winner
France United Left Primary Winner
Canceled 56%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 11%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 1.8%
$51,256 KL.
$51,256 KL.
Oct 11, 2026
Canceled
56%
Marine Tondelier
29%
François Ruffin
11%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
2%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Clémentine Autain
<1%
Canceled 56%
Marine Tondelier 29%
François Ruffin 11%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy 1.8%
$51,256 KL.
$51,256 KL.
Oct 11, 2026
Canceled
$8,277 KL.
56%
Marine Tondelier
$26,478 KL.
29%
François Ruffin
$11,093 KL.
11%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$67 KL.
2%
Lydie Massard
$1,464 KL.
<1%
Clémentine Autain
$3,877 KL.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Canceled at 54.5% for the France United Left primary—aimed at selecting a Nouveau Front Populaire presidential candidate—as negotiations stall amid threats of solo runs and party divisions. A May 5 Paris meeting featuring Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain, and PS leader Olivier Faure sought to revive the process, but Ruffin's recent affirmation he'll campaign independently without it, echoed by Tondelier, has deepened skepticism, alongside LFI opposition and PS hesitation over format. Tondelier leads candidates at 28.5% on her EELV prominence and prior polling edge, with Ruffin at 11.5% buoyed by his dissident appeal post-LFI exit; Benjamin Lucas-Lundy's May 14 candidacy declaration drew minimal traction. Party heads may pivot to direct designation ahead of the October resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$51,256Ngày kết thúc
Oct 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus favors Canceled at 54.5% for the France United Left primary—aimed at selecting a Nouveau Front Populaire presidential candidate—as negotiations stall amid threats of solo runs and party divisions. A May 5 Paris meeting featuring Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain, and PS leader Olivier Faure sought to revive the process, but Ruffin's recent affirmation he'll campaign independently without it, echoed by Tondelier, has deepened skepticism, alongside LFI opposition and PS hesitation over format. Tondelier leads candidates at 28.5% on her EELV prominence and prior polling edge, with Ruffin at 11.5% buoyed by his dissident appeal post-LFI exit; Benjamin Lucas-Lundy's May 14 candidacy declaration drew minimal traction. Party heads may pivot to direct designation ahead of the October resolution.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$51,256Ngày kết thúc
Oct 11, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors Canceled at 54.5% for the France United Left primary—aimed at selecting a Nouveau Front Populaire presidential candidate—as negotiations stall amid threats of solo runs and party divisions. A May 5 Paris meeting featuring Marine Tondelier, François Ruffin, Clémentine Autain, and PS leader Olivier Faure sought to revive the process, but Ruffin's recent affirmation he'll campaign independently without it, echoed by Tondelier, has deepened skepticism, alongside LFI opposition and PS hesitation over format. Tondelier leads candidates at 28.5% on her EELV prominence and prior polling edge, with Ruffin at 11.5% buoyed by his dissident appeal post-LFI exit; Benjamin Lucas-Lundy's May 14 candidacy declaration drew minimal traction. Party heads may pivot to direct designation ahead of the October resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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