Trader consensus implies a 95.5% probability of no World Health Organization declaration of hantavirus as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) by June 30, driven by the agency's restrained response to a recent multi-country Andes virus cluster linked to the M/V Hondius cruise ship, with 11 cases (eight confirmed) and three deaths reported as of May 13. This rodent-borne pathogen, notable for rare close-contact human-to-human transmission, shows no signs of sustained community spread, per CDC and WHO surveillance, amid historical U.S. baselines of 20–40 annual hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases from isolated exposures. Containment via passenger isolation and monitoring has kept risk low. Escalation to PHEIC would require unexpected surges in secondary transmission or widespread outbreaks, with key updates from WHO Disease Outbreak News anticipated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
$27,562 KL.
$27,562 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
$27,562 KL.
$27,562 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus implies a 95.5% probability of no World Health Organization declaration of hantavirus as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) by June 30, driven by the agency's restrained response to a recent multi-country Andes virus cluster linked to the M/V Hondius cruise ship, with 11 cases (eight confirmed) and three deaths reported as of May 13. This rodent-borne pathogen, notable for rare close-contact human-to-human transmission, shows no signs of sustained community spread, per CDC and WHO surveillance, amid historical U.S. baselines of 20–40 annual hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases from isolated exposures. Containment via passenger isolation and monitoring has kept risk low. Escalation to PHEIC would require unexpected surges in secondary transmission or widespread outbreaks, with key updates from WHO Disease Outbreak News anticipated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,562Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trader consensus implies a 95.5% probability of no World Health Organization declaration of hantavirus as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) by June 30, driven by the agency's restrained response to a recent multi-country Andes virus cluster linked to the M/V Hondius cruise ship, with 11 cases (eight confirmed) and three deaths reported as of May 13. This rodent-borne pathogen, notable for rare close-contact human-to-human transmission, shows no signs of sustained community spread, per CDC and WHO surveillance, amid historical U.S. baselines of 20–40 annual hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases from isolated exposures. Containment via passenger isolation and monitoring has kept risk low. Escalation to PHEIC would require unexpected surges in secondary transmission or widespread outbreaks, with key updates from WHO Disease Outbreak News anticipated.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization (WHO) officially declares the hantavirus (or any strain or outbreak of the hantavirus) a Public Health Emergency of International Concern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a determination that the hantavirus is a Public Health Emergency of International Concern will qualify. Other designations will not be considered.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$27,562Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 95.5% probability of no World Health Organization declaration of hantavirus as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) by June 30, driven by the agency's restrained response to a recent multi-country Andes virus cluster linked to the M/V Hondius cruise ship, with 11 cases (eight confirmed) and three deaths reported as of May 13. This rodent-borne pathogen, notable for rare close-contact human-to-human transmission, shows no signs of sustained community spread, per CDC and WHO surveillance, amid historical U.S. baselines of 20–40 annual hantavirus pulmonary syndrome cases from isolated exposures. Containment via passenger isolation and monitoring has kept risk low. Escalation to PHEIC would require unexpected surges in secondary transmission or widespread outbreaks, with key updates from WHO Disease Outbreak News anticipated.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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