President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against ICE enforcement actions, most notably in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian by federal agents during deportation operations. Internal White House debates, including pushes from Vice President JD Vance, have weighed invocation to support mass deportations and quell unrest, though concerns over legal challenges, political backlash, and court limits on related authorities like National Guard federalization have weighed against immediate action. Recent reporting highlights ongoing consideration tied to immigration policy resistance in Democratic-led cities, with midterm elections approaching in November 2026 as a potential catalyst or constraint. No invocation has occurred to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtInsurrection Act invoked by...?
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1,099,625 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
June 30
<1%
July 31
6%
December 31
17%
$1,099,625 KL.
June 30
$76,478 KL.
<1%
July 31
$1,506 KL.
6%
December 31
$138,046 KL.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against ICE enforcement actions, most notably in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian by federal agents during deportation operations. Internal White House debates, including pushes from Vice President JD Vance, have weighed invocation to support mass deportations and quell unrest, though concerns over legal challenges, political backlash, and court limits on related authorities like National Guard federalization have weighed against immediate action. Recent reporting highlights ongoing consideration tied to immigration policy resistance in Democratic-led cities, with midterm elections approaching in November 2026 as a potential catalyst or constraint. No invocation has occurred to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,099,625Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against ICE enforcement actions, most notably in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian by federal agents during deportation operations. Internal White House debates, including pushes from Vice President JD Vance, have weighed invocation to support mass deportations and quell unrest, though concerns over legal challenges, political backlash, and court limits on related authorities like National Guard federalization have weighed against immediate action. Recent reporting highlights ongoing consideration tied to immigration policy resistance in Democratic-led cities, with midterm elections approaching in November 2026 as a potential catalyst or constraint. No invocation has occurred to date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$1,099,625Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid protests against ICE enforcement actions, most notably in Minnesota in January 2026 following the fatal shooting of a civilian by federal agents during deportation operations. Internal White House debates, including pushes from Vice President JD Vance, have weighed invocation to support mass deportations and quell unrest, though concerns over legal challenges, political backlash, and court limits on related authorities like National Guard federalization have weighed against immediate action. Recent reporting highlights ongoing consideration tied to immigration policy resistance in Democratic-led cities, with midterm elections approaching in November 2026 as a potential catalyst or constraint. No invocation has occurred to date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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