Iran's political system underwent a rapid leadership transition after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a February 28, 2026, strike during the Iran war, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March via constitutional interim council procedures involving President Masoud Pezeshkian, the judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council jurist. Recent developments center on efforts to demonstrate continuity and unity, including a reported late-July meeting between Pezeshkian and Mojtaba announced in August, amid questions over the new leader's public visibility, health, and effective authority. External pressures from U.S. and Israeli actions, alongside internal regime dynamics involving the IRGC and clerical networks, shape assessments of further changes or stability through scheduled events like potential diplomatic engagements or security developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$23,338,934 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
August 15
<1%
August 22
1%
August 31
3%
September 30
7%
October 31
11%
November 30
14%
Ngày 31 tháng 12
19%
June 30, 2027
32%
$23,338,934 KL.
August 15
$38,508 KL.
<1%
August 22
$22,227 KL.
1%
August 31
$1,116,078 KL.
3%
September 30
$422,113 KL.
7%
October 31
$7,505 KL.
11%
November 30
$8,810 KL.
14%
Ngày 31 tháng 12
$3,961,676 KL.
19%
June 30, 2027
$215,642 KL.
32%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political system underwent a rapid leadership transition after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a February 28, 2026, strike during the Iran war, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March via constitutional interim council procedures involving President Masoud Pezeshkian, the judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council jurist. Recent developments center on efforts to demonstrate continuity and unity, including a reported late-July meeting between Pezeshkian and Mojtaba announced in August, amid questions over the new leader's public visibility, health, and effective authority. External pressures from U.S. and Israeli actions, alongside internal regime dynamics involving the IRGC and clerical networks, shape assessments of further changes or stability through scheduled events like potential diplomatic engagements or security developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,338,934Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political system underwent a rapid leadership transition after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a February 28, 2026, strike during the Iran war, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March via constitutional interim council procedures involving President Masoud Pezeshkian, the judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council jurist. Recent developments center on efforts to demonstrate continuity and unity, including a reported late-July meeting between Pezeshkian and Mojtaba announced in August, amid questions over the new leader's public visibility, health, and effective authority. External pressures from U.S. and Israeli actions, alongside internal regime dynamics involving the IRGC and clerical networks, shape assessments of further changes or stability through scheduled events like potential diplomatic engagements or security developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$23,338,934Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 29, 2026, 10:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's political system underwent a rapid leadership transition after Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in a February 28, 2026, strike during the Iran war, prompting the Assembly of Experts to select his son Mojtaba Khamenei as successor in early March via constitutional interim council procedures involving President Masoud Pezeshkian, the judiciary chief, and a Guardian Council jurist. Recent developments center on efforts to demonstrate continuity and unity, including a reported late-July meeting between Pezeshkian and Mojtaba announced in August, amid questions over the new leader's public visibility, health, and effective authority. External pressures from U.S. and Israeli actions, alongside internal regime dynamics involving the IRGC and clerical networks, shape assessments of further changes or stability through scheduled events like potential diplomatic engagements or security developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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