Apvienotais saraksts (AS) secured a decisive victory in Latvia’s 3 October 2026 Saeima election, capturing roughly 35.3–35.8% of the vote and 41–42 seats according to near-complete preliminary counts from the Central Election Commission. This outperformed pre-election polling averages and produced a lead exceeding 20 percentage points over the second-placed party. The result reflects sustained voter support for the incumbent prime minister’s centrist alliance amid priorities of national security, defense spending at 5% of GDP, and economic management, while populist and opposition lists remained fragmented. With only six parties clearing the 5% threshold and final tallies aligning closely with exit polls, traders have priced in the wide margin as the near-certain outcome, though any material revision in official certification could theoretically alter resolution.