Zoran Janković holds the leading position in the Ljubljana mayoral race at 67% implied probability, reflecting his incumbency since 2006 and repeated first-round victories, including 61.8% in 2022. Traders price fragmented opposition lower, with candidates such as Anton Rop, Luka Mesec, Aleš Primc, Apolonija Simon, Jasmin Feratović, Mihael Jarc, and Gregor Novak each in the low-to-mid 20% range or below. Recent developments include Janković’s May 2026 announcement seeking a seventh term alongside his Supermesto urban vision through 2045, proposals for traffic restrictions and new housing, and a September 2026 land purchase for a nordijski center. Opposition activity centers on environmental concerns over the C0 canal, calls for greater transparency, and critiques of long-term governance, while early polling showed split support among potential alternatives. The November 15, 2026, vote remains the key resolution trigger, with any late consolidation among challengers a potential market mover.