Recent polling averages show the likely Democratic nominee, oyster farmer and veteran Graham Platner, leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 6 to 7 points in head-to-head general election matchups. This positioning stems from Janet Mills suspending her Senate bid after trailing Platner significantly in the Democratic primary, consolidating support behind the frontrunner ahead of the June 9 primary. Maine’s recent voting patterns, including consistent Democratic advantages in presidential contests, have reinforced trader assessments that the seat leans toward the Democratic candidate. With the general election still months away, these survey trends and the resolved Democratic field form the main drivers behind the current 77.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMaine Senate Election Winner
Maine Senate Election Winner
$240,655 KL.
$240,655 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
78%
Republican
24%
$240,655 KL.
$240,655 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$145,418 KL.
78%
Republican
$95,237 KL.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show the likely Democratic nominee, oyster farmer and veteran Graham Platner, leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 6 to 7 points in head-to-head general election matchups. This positioning stems from Janet Mills suspending her Senate bid after trailing Platner significantly in the Democratic primary, consolidating support behind the frontrunner ahead of the June 9 primary. Maine’s recent voting patterns, including consistent Democratic advantages in presidential contests, have reinforced trader assessments that the seat leans toward the Democratic candidate. With the general election still months away, these survey trends and the resolved Democratic field form the main drivers behind the current 77.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$240,655Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show the likely Democratic nominee, oyster farmer and veteran Graham Platner, leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 6 to 7 points in head-to-head general election matchups. This positioning stems from Janet Mills suspending her Senate bid after trailing Platner significantly in the Democratic primary, consolidating support behind the frontrunner ahead of the June 9 primary. Maine’s recent voting patterns, including consistent Democratic advantages in presidential contests, have reinforced trader assessments that the seat leans toward the Democratic candidate. With the general election still months away, these survey trends and the resolved Democratic field form the main drivers behind the current 77.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$240,655Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show the likely Democratic nominee, oyster farmer and veteran Graham Platner, leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by 6 to 7 points in head-to-head general election matchups. This positioning stems from Janet Mills suspending her Senate bid after trailing Platner significantly in the Democratic primary, consolidating support behind the frontrunner ahead of the June 9 primary. Maine’s recent voting patterns, including consistent Democratic advantages in presidential contests, have reinforced trader assessments that the seat leans toward the Democratic candidate. With the general election still months away, these survey trends and the resolved Democratic field form the main drivers behind the current 77.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic winner.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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