Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4, 2026, primary for the open U.S. Senate seat previously held by Gary Peters, defeating Representative Haley Stevens after state Senator Mallory McMorrow withdrew. This outcome has positioned El-Sayed as the frontrunner in trader assessments against Republican nominee and former Representative Mike Rogers. Key factors include the state’s recent electoral patterns in a non-incumbent race, El-Sayed’s primary performance consolidating Democratic support, and Rogers’ established name recognition from prior campaigns. With the November general election approaching, upcoming polling averages and campaign fundraising trends in the coming months could further influence implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$271,258 KL.
$271,258 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
61%
Mike Rogers (R)
42%
$271,258 KL.
$271,258 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$144,597 KL.
61%
Mike Rogers (R)
$126,661 KL.
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4, 2026, primary for the open U.S. Senate seat previously held by Gary Peters, defeating Representative Haley Stevens after state Senator Mallory McMorrow withdrew. This outcome has positioned El-Sayed as the frontrunner in trader assessments against Republican nominee and former Representative Mike Rogers. Key factors include the state’s recent electoral patterns in a non-incumbent race, El-Sayed’s primary performance consolidating Democratic support, and Rogers’ established name recognition from prior campaigns. With the November general election approaching, upcoming polling averages and campaign fundraising trends in the coming months could further influence implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$271,258Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4, 2026, primary for the open U.S. Senate seat previously held by Gary Peters, defeating Representative Haley Stevens after state Senator Mallory McMorrow withdrew. This outcome has positioned El-Sayed as the frontrunner in trader assessments against Republican nominee and former Representative Mike Rogers. Key factors include the state’s recent electoral patterns in a non-incumbent race, El-Sayed’s primary performance consolidating Democratic support, and Rogers’ established name recognition from prior campaigns. With the November general election approaching, upcoming polling averages and campaign fundraising trends in the coming months could further influence implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$271,258Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4, 2026, primary for the open U.S. Senate seat previously held by Gary Peters, defeating Representative Haley Stevens after state Senator Mallory McMorrow withdrew. This outcome has positioned El-Sayed as the frontrunner in trader assessments against Republican nominee and former Representative Mike Rogers. Key factors include the state’s recent electoral patterns in a non-incumbent race, El-Sayed’s primary performance consolidating Democratic support, and Rogers’ established name recognition from prior campaigns. With the November general election approaching, upcoming polling averages and campaign fundraising trends in the coming months could further influence implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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