Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 80.5% Republican probability. Recent Saint Anselm College polling from mid-August shows Ayotte leading presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington 49% to 38%, extending her advantage from earlier surveys amid a national environment favoring Democrats on the generic ballot. Ayotte's favorable ratings remain positive while Warmington's lag, and forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. With primaries scheduled for September 8 and the general election on November 3, traders appear to weigh the incumbent's personal strength and state-level performance more heavily than broader partisan trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Hampshire Governor Election Winner
New Hampshire Governor Election Winner
$16,376 KL.
$16,376 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
17%
$16,376 KL.
$16,376 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$7,449 KL.
81%
Democrat
$8,927 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 80.5% Republican probability. Recent Saint Anselm College polling from mid-August shows Ayotte leading presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington 49% to 38%, extending her advantage from earlier surveys amid a national environment favoring Democrats on the generic ballot. Ayotte's favorable ratings remain positive while Warmington's lag, and forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. With primaries scheduled for September 8 and the general election on November 3, traders appear to weigh the incumbent's personal strength and state-level performance more heavily than broader partisan trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,376Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 80.5% Republican probability. Recent Saint Anselm College polling from mid-August shows Ayotte leading presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington 49% to 38%, extending her advantage from earlier surveys amid a national environment favoring Democrats on the generic ballot. Ayotte's favorable ratings remain positive while Warmington's lag, and forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. With primaries scheduled for September 8 and the general election on November 3, traders appear to weigh the incumbent's personal strength and state-level performance more heavily than broader partisan trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$16,376Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's 80.5% Republican probability. Recent Saint Anselm College polling from mid-August shows Ayotte leading presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington 49% to 38%, extending her advantage from earlier surveys amid a national environment favoring Democrats on the generic ballot. Ayotte's favorable ratings remain positive while Warmington's lag, and forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican. With primaries scheduled for September 8 and the general election on November 3, traders appear to weigh the incumbent's personal strength and state-level performance more heavily than broader partisan trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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