Jordan Staal has surged to a 56.7% implied probability for the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy as captain of the Carolina Hurricanes, who lead the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in the Stanley Cup Final. His record-tying goal in each of the first five Final games, plus leadership in high-danger goals and shots plus elite faceoff work, has driven the shift in trader sentiment. Mitch Marner of Vegas, previously the frontrunner after strong earlier playoff production, sits at 25.5% amid Carolina’s series edge. Supporting Carolina forwards Logan Stankoven, Taylor Hall, and Nikolaj Ehlers hold single-digit shares due to their line contributions and Frederik Andersen’s recent benching, while the wide field of longshots reflects the series’ tight, low-scoring nature and the award’s focus on playoff impact rather than regular-season totals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner
Jordan Staal 56.7%
Mitch Marner 26%
Taylor Hall 8%
Logan Stankoven 6%
$160,290 KL.
$160,290 KL.
Jordan Staal
57%
Mitch Marner
26%
Taylor Hall
8%
Logan Stankoven
6%
Nikolaj Ehlers
6%
Jackson Blake
1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Carter Hart
<1%
Brett Howden
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Cutter Guanthier
<1%
Connor McDavid
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
William Karlsson
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Ivan Barbashev
<1%
Brayden McNabb
<1%
Colton Sissons
<1%
Pavel Dorofeyev
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Jaccob Slavin
<1%
Jalen Chatfield
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Jordan Staal 56.7%
Mitch Marner 26%
Taylor Hall 8%
Logan Stankoven 6%
$160,290 KL.
$160,290 KL.
Jordan Staal
57%
Mitch Marner
26%
Taylor Hall
8%
Logan Stankoven
6%
Nikolaj Ehlers
6%
Jackson Blake
1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Carter Hart
<1%
Brett Howden
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Cutter Guanthier
<1%
Connor McDavid
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
William Karlsson
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Ivan Barbashev
<1%
Brayden McNabb
<1%
Colton Sissons
<1%
Pavel Dorofeyev
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Jaccob Slavin
<1%
Jalen Chatfield
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Jordan Staal has surged to a 56.7% implied probability for the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy as captain of the Carolina Hurricanes, who lead the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2 in the Stanley Cup Final. His record-tying goal in each of the first five Final games, plus leadership in high-danger goals and shots plus elite faceoff work, has driven the shift in trader sentiment. Mitch Marner of Vegas, previously the frontrunner after strong earlier playoff production, sits at 25.5% amid Carolina’s series edge. Supporting Carolina forwards Logan Stankoven, Taylor Hall, and Nikolaj Ehlers hold single-digit shares due to their line contributions and Frederik Andersen’s recent benching, while the wide field of longshots reflects the series’ tight, low-scoring nature and the award’s focus on playoff impact rather than regular-season totals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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