Ramaswamy's dominant position in the Ohio Republican primary for governor stems from consistent polling leads exceeding 60 points in recent surveys, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge over challenger Casey Putsch. These factors have consolidated GOP voter support around the biotech entrepreneur ahead of the May primary, reflecting trader consensus on a decisive win amid limited opposition. The market's implied probability for a 60-70% margin captures this dynamic, as historical base rates for well-funded, endorsed candidates in low-turnout primaries often produce similar results. A major late-breaking scandal or unexpected turnout surge for Putsch could still narrow the outcome, though such shifts appear improbable given current momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOhio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ohio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.2%
Ramaswamy 50-60% 4.9%
Ramaswamy 70%+ 1.1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
$66,019 KL.
$66,019 KL.
May 5, 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
5%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
1%
Other
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.2%
Ramaswamy 50-60% 4.9%
Ramaswamy 70%+ 1.1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
$66,019 KL.
$66,019 KL.
May 5, 2026
Ramaswamy <30%
$4,024 KL.
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
$2,310 KL.
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
$2,770 KL.
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
$10,690 KL.
5%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
$13,477 KL.
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
$31,426 KL.
1%
Other
$1,321 KL.
<1%
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ramaswamy's dominant position in the Ohio Republican primary for governor stems from consistent polling leads exceeding 60 points in recent surveys, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge over challenger Casey Putsch. These factors have consolidated GOP voter support around the biotech entrepreneur ahead of the May primary, reflecting trader consensus on a decisive win amid limited opposition. The market's implied probability for a 60-70% margin captures this dynamic, as historical base rates for well-funded, endorsed candidates in low-turnout primaries often produce similar results. A major late-breaking scandal or unexpected turnout surge for Putsch could still narrow the outcome, though such shifts appear improbable given current momentum.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$66,019Ngày kết thúc
May 5, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ramaswamy's dominant position in the Ohio Republican primary for governor stems from consistent polling leads exceeding 60 points in recent surveys, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge over challenger Casey Putsch. These factors have consolidated GOP voter support around the biotech entrepreneur ahead of the May primary, reflecting trader consensus on a decisive win amid limited opposition. The market's implied probability for a 60-70% margin captures this dynamic, as historical base rates for well-funded, endorsed candidates in low-turnout primaries often produce similar results. A major late-breaking scandal or unexpected turnout surge for Putsch could still narrow the outcome, though such shifts appear improbable given current momentum.
The Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio is currently scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$66,019Ngày kết thúc
May 5, 2026Thị trường mở
May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ramaswamy's dominant position in the Ohio Republican primary for governor stems from consistent polling leads exceeding 60 points in recent surveys, bolstered by President Trump's endorsement and a substantial fundraising edge over challenger Casey Putsch. These factors have consolidated GOP voter support around the biotech entrepreneur ahead of the May primary, reflecting trader consensus on a decisive win amid limited opposition. The market's implied probability for a 60-70% margin captures this dynamic, as historical base rates for well-funded, endorsed candidates in low-turnout primaries often produce similar results. A major late-breaking scandal or unexpected turnout surge for Putsch could still narrow the outcome, though such shifts appear improbable given current momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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