Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor race with no dominant frontrunner. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31.9%, followed by Matt Damon at 26.0% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%, while dozens of other names sit at 50.0% or lower, signaling broad uncertainty. Competitive dynamics stem from limited confirmed projects and absent precursor signals such as guild nominations or critics' awards this far ahead. Momentum could shift with fall festival premieres, box office results, and critical reception once major films debut. Historical patterns show early odds often realign dramatically as campaigns gain traction and voting bodies narrow the field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner
John Malkovich 31.7%
Matt Damon 26%
Andrew Scott 18%
Tom Cruise 14%
$117,478 KL.
$117,478 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
John Malkovich
32%
Matt Damon
26%
Andrew Scott
18%
Tom Cruise
14%
Robert Pattinson
9%
Jeremy Strong
3%
Sebastian Stan
2%
Ryan Gosling
2%
Timothée Chalamet
1%
Jaafar Jackson
1%
Sam Rockwell
1%
Pedro Pascal
1%
Javier Bardem
<1%
Adam Driver
<1%
Brad Pitt
<1%
Robert Aramayo
<1%
John Turturro
<1%
Josh O'Connor
<1%
John Malkovich 31.7%
Matt Damon 26%
Andrew Scott 18%
Tom Cruise 14%
$117,478 KL.
$117,478 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
John Malkovich
$8,855 KL.
32%
Matt Damon
$34,097 KL.
26%
Andrew Scott
$12,225 KL.
18%
Tom Cruise
$11,178 KL.
14%
Robert Pattinson
$4,364 KL.
9%
Jeremy Strong
$4,039 KL.
3%
Sebastian Stan
$2,765 KL.
2%
Ryan Gosling
$4,778 KL.
2%
Timothée Chalamet
$3,693 KL.
1%
Jaafar Jackson
$4,211 KL.
1%
Sam Rockwell
$4,572 KL.
1%
Pedro Pascal
$3,076 KL.
1%
Javier Bardem
$2,900 KL.
<1%
Adam Driver
$2,373 KL.
<1%
Brad Pitt
$8,112 KL.
<1%
Robert Aramayo
$3,115 KL.
<1%
John Turturro
$1,587 KL.
<1%
Josh O'Connor
$1,537 KL.
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor race with no dominant frontrunner. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31.9%, followed by Matt Damon at 26.0% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%, while dozens of other names sit at 50.0% or lower, signaling broad uncertainty. Competitive dynamics stem from limited confirmed projects and absent precursor signals such as guild nominations or critics' awards this far ahead. Momentum could shift with fall festival premieres, box office results, and critical reception once major films debut. Historical patterns show early odds often realign dramatically as campaigns gain traction and voting bodies narrow the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$117,478Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor race with no dominant frontrunner. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31.9%, followed by Matt Damon at 26.0% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%, while dozens of other names sit at 50.0% or lower, signaling broad uncertainty. Competitive dynamics stem from limited confirmed projects and absent precursor signals such as guild nominations or critics' awards this far ahead. Momentum could shift with fall festival premieres, box office results, and critical reception once major films debut. Historical patterns show early odds often realign dramatically as campaigns gain traction and voting bodies narrow the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$117,478Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 28, 2026, 11:05 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle for 2026 releases, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open Best Actor race with no dominant frontrunner. John Malkovich holds the highest implied probability at 31.9%, followed by Matt Damon at 26.0% and Andrew Scott at 17.5%, while dozens of other names sit at 50.0% or lower, signaling broad uncertainty. Competitive dynamics stem from limited confirmed projects and absent precursor signals such as guild nominations or critics' awards this far ahead. Momentum could shift with fall festival premieres, box office results, and critical reception once major films debut. Historical patterns show early odds often realign dramatically as campaigns gain traction and voting bodies narrow the field.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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