Denver Broncos hold a narrow lead in the AFC West at 6-2 following their 28-24 comeback victory over the Kansas City Chiefs on November 1, a result that shifted division control after the teams split their season series. The Broncos’ four-game win streak, strong home record, and improved offensive balance under quarterback Bo Nix have positioned them as the trader favorite at 58.5% implied probability. The Chiefs sit at 5-2 but have dropped consecutive games, including the divisional loss, leaving them at 39.0% despite a superior point differential and favorable remaining schedule. The Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers trail significantly at 4-4 and 0-7, respectively, with minimal realistic paths to the title given their records and head-to-head results.