Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market prices "No" at a 98.4% implied probability, driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline expiring without all required critical incidents across Amazon Web Services (AWS), Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged qualifying disruptions, such as the March 1 Middle East region outage affecting multiple services, but Discord's March 9 platform-wide failure and March 25 voice issues peaked at "Major" severity without escalating to "Critical" (red status), while Cloudflare reported no resolved Critical incidents in the period. Post-deadline events, like AWS's May 7 US-East-1 thermal failure or Discord's May 8 API errors, fall outside the window. This independent resilience among cloud providers underpins the near-certainty, though rare retroactive severity reclassifications on official status pages or oracle disputes could delay final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$14,339 KL.
$14,339 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
$14,339 KL.
$14,339 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market prices "No" at a 98.4% implied probability, driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline expiring without all required critical incidents across Amazon Web Services (AWS), Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged qualifying disruptions, such as the March 1 Middle East region outage affecting multiple services, but Discord's March 9 platform-wide failure and March 25 voice issues peaked at "Major" severity without escalating to "Critical" (red status), while Cloudflare reported no resolved Critical incidents in the period. Post-deadline events, like AWS's May 7 US-East-1 thermal failure or Discord's May 8 API errors, fall outside the window. This independent resilience among cloud providers underpins the near-certainty, though rare retroactive severity reclassifications on official status pages or oracle disputes could delay final resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,339Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market prices "No" at a 98.4% implied probability, driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline expiring without all required critical incidents across Amazon Web Services (AWS), Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged qualifying disruptions, such as the March 1 Middle East region outage affecting multiple services, but Discord's March 9 platform-wide failure and March 25 voice issues peaked at "Major" severity without escalating to "Critical" (red status), while Cloudflare reported no resolved Critical incidents in the period. Post-deadline events, like AWS's May 7 US-East-1 thermal failure or Discord's May 8 API errors, fall outside the window. This independent resilience among cloud providers underpins the near-certainty, though rare retroactive severity reclassifications on official status pages or oracle disputes could delay final resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Khối lượng
$14,339Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market prices "No" at a 98.4% implied probability, driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline expiring without all required critical incidents across Amazon Web Services (AWS), Discord, and Cloudflare. AWS logged qualifying disruptions, such as the March 1 Middle East region outage affecting multiple services, but Discord's March 9 platform-wide failure and March 25 voice issues peaked at "Major" severity without escalating to "Critical" (red status), while Cloudflare reported no resolved Critical incidents in the period. Post-deadline events, like AWS's May 7 US-East-1 thermal failure or Discord's May 8 API errors, fall outside the window. This independent resilience among cloud providers underpins the near-certainty, though rare retroactive severity reclassifications on official status pages or oracle disputes could delay final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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