Incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham's dominant fundraising—$11.6 million cash on hand as of late March—and Trump endorsement have solidified trader consensus at 80.5% for a Republican win in South Carolina's Class II Senate seat, despite a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the June 9 contest. Recent Republican primary polling shows Graham leading challenger Mark Lynch 41%-21%, bolstered by a key dropout's endorsement to Lynch that failed to shift dynamics. A March general election poll had Graham edging Democrat Annie Andrews 47%-42%, but South Carolina's deep-red partisan lean (R+13), historical GOP Senate dominance since 2005, and incumbency advantage outweigh Graham's soft approval ratings, pricing Democrats at 20.5% amid weak statewide viability. Primary outcomes could influence general matchup trajectories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSouth Carolina Senate Election Winner
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
$29,534 KL.
$29,534 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
81%
Democrat
21%
$29,534 KL.
$29,534 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$11,165 KL.
81%
Democrat
$18,369 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham's dominant fundraising—$11.6 million cash on hand as of late March—and Trump endorsement have solidified trader consensus at 80.5% for a Republican win in South Carolina's Class II Senate seat, despite a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the June 9 contest. Recent Republican primary polling shows Graham leading challenger Mark Lynch 41%-21%, bolstered by a key dropout's endorsement to Lynch that failed to shift dynamics. A March general election poll had Graham edging Democrat Annie Andrews 47%-42%, but South Carolina's deep-red partisan lean (R+13), historical GOP Senate dominance since 2005, and incumbency advantage outweigh Graham's soft approval ratings, pricing Democrats at 20.5% amid weak statewide viability. Primary outcomes could influence general matchup trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$29,534Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham's dominant fundraising—$11.6 million cash on hand as of late March—and Trump endorsement have solidified trader consensus at 80.5% for a Republican win in South Carolina's Class II Senate seat, despite a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the June 9 contest. Recent Republican primary polling shows Graham leading challenger Mark Lynch 41%-21%, bolstered by a key dropout's endorsement to Lynch that failed to shift dynamics. A March general election poll had Graham edging Democrat Annie Andrews 47%-42%, but South Carolina's deep-red partisan lean (R+13), historical GOP Senate dominance since 2005, and incumbency advantage outweigh Graham's soft approval ratings, pricing Democrats at 20.5% amid weak statewide viability. Primary outcomes could influence general matchup trajectories.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$29,534Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham's dominant fundraising—$11.6 million cash on hand as of late March—and Trump endorsement have solidified trader consensus at 80.5% for a Republican win in South Carolina's Class II Senate seat, despite a crowded GOP primary field ahead of the June 9 contest. Recent Republican primary polling shows Graham leading challenger Mark Lynch 41%-21%, bolstered by a key dropout's endorsement to Lynch that failed to shift dynamics. A March general election poll had Graham edging Democrat Annie Andrews 47%-42%, but South Carolina's deep-red partisan lean (R+13), historical GOP Senate dominance since 2005, and incumbency advantage outweigh Graham's soft approval ratings, pricing Democrats at 20.5% amid weak statewide viability. Primary outcomes could influence general matchup trajectories.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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