The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 by-elections for National Assembly seats, reflecting its status as the ruling party with a strong governing mandate following President Lee Jae-myung’s 2025 victory. This positioning stems from the People Power Party’s weakened organizational capacity after the 2024-2025 political crisis and impeachment proceedings, limiting its ability to mount competitive challenges in contested districts. Recent primaries, including the Seoul mayoral race, have further consolidated Democratic support through unified candidate selection and high turnout among party members. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome, consistent with historical patterns where the incumbent party performs strongly in mid-term by-elections held alongside local contests. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected regional turnout fluctuations or last-minute developments in specific constituencies before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSouth Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 97.5%
People Power Party (PPP) 3.6%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Party (PP) <1%
$44,225 KL.
$44,225 KL.
Jun 3, 2026
People Power Party (PPP)
4%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
98%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
<1%
Progressive Party (PP)
<1%
Reform Party (RP)
<1%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 97.5%
People Power Party (PPP) 3.6%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Party (PP) <1%
$44,225 KL.
$44,225 KL.
Jun 3, 2026
People Power Party (PPP)
$1,903 KL.
4%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
$2,751 KL.
98%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
$16,585 KL.
<1%
Progressive Party (PP)
$1,113 KL.
<1%
Reform Party (RP)
$21,873 KL.
<1%
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 by-elections for National Assembly seats, reflecting its status as the ruling party with a strong governing mandate following President Lee Jae-myung’s 2025 victory. This positioning stems from the People Power Party’s weakened organizational capacity after the 2024-2025 political crisis and impeachment proceedings, limiting its ability to mount competitive challenges in contested districts. Recent primaries, including the Seoul mayoral race, have further consolidated Democratic support through unified candidate selection and high turnout among party members. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome, consistent with historical patterns where the incumbent party performs strongly in mid-term by-elections held alongside local contests. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected regional turnout fluctuations or last-minute developments in specific constituencies before voting concludes.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Thị trường mở: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$44,225Ngày kết thúc
Jun 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 by-elections for National Assembly seats, reflecting its status as the ruling party with a strong governing mandate following President Lee Jae-myung’s 2025 victory. This positioning stems from the People Power Party’s weakened organizational capacity after the 2024-2025 political crisis and impeachment proceedings, limiting its ability to mount competitive challenges in contested districts. Recent primaries, including the Seoul mayoral race, have further consolidated Democratic support through unified candidate selection and high turnout among party members. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome, consistent with historical patterns where the incumbent party performs strongly in mid-term by-elections held alongside local contests. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected regional turnout fluctuations or last-minute developments in specific constituencies before voting concludes.
At least four South Korean parliamentary seats will be contested in by-elections on June 3, 2026, held alongside the nationwide local elections taking place on the same day. Re-elections are equivalent to by-elections for the purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Khối lượng
$44,225Ngày kết thúc
Jun 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party of Korea holds a commanding lead in the June 3, 2026 by-elections for National Assembly seats, reflecting its status as the ruling party with a strong governing mandate following President Lee Jae-myung’s 2025 victory. This positioning stems from the People Power Party’s weakened organizational capacity after the 2024-2025 political crisis and impeachment proceedings, limiting its ability to mount competitive challenges in contested districts. Recent primaries, including the Seoul mayoral race, have further consolidated Democratic support through unified candidate selection and high turnout among party members. Trader consensus assigns overwhelming probability to a Democratic outcome, consistent with historical patterns where the incumbent party performs strongly in mid-term by-elections held alongside local contests. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected regional turnout fluctuations or last-minute developments in specific constituencies before voting concludes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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