Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 60.5% in the open-seat Tennessee gubernatorial race, driven by U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn's commanding lead in GOP primary polls—63% in the May 7 Beacon survey versus 10% for Rep. John Rose—bolstered by endorsements from federal and state Republicans. A matching general election matchup shows Blackburn ahead 51-27% over leading Democrat Jerri Green amid high Democratic primary undecideds (62%). Tennessee's status as a Republican stronghold, with no Democratic statewide win since 2006, underpins the GOP edge, though August 6 primaries introduce modest uncertainty reflected in sub-90% pricing. Democrats trail at 6% due to their fragmented field and historical base rates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTennessee Governor Election Winner
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
6%
Republican
60%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$981 KL.
6%
Republican
$2,923 KL.
60%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 60.5% in the open-seat Tennessee gubernatorial race, driven by U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn's commanding lead in GOP primary polls—63% in the May 7 Beacon survey versus 10% for Rep. John Rose—bolstered by endorsements from federal and state Republicans. A matching general election matchup shows Blackburn ahead 51-27% over leading Democrat Jerri Green amid high Democratic primary undecideds (62%). Tennessee's status as a Republican stronghold, with no Democratic statewide win since 2006, underpins the GOP edge, though August 6 primaries introduce modest uncertainty reflected in sub-90% pricing. Democrats trail at 6% due to their fragmented field and historical base rates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,904Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 60.5% in the open-seat Tennessee gubernatorial race, driven by U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn's commanding lead in GOP primary polls—63% in the May 7 Beacon survey versus 10% for Rep. John Rose—bolstered by endorsements from federal and state Republicans. A matching general election matchup shows Blackburn ahead 51-27% over leading Democrat Jerri Green amid high Democratic primary undecideds (62%). Tennessee's status as a Republican stronghold, with no Democratic statewide win since 2006, underpins the GOP edge, though August 6 primaries introduce modest uncertainty reflected in sub-90% pricing. Democrats trail at 6% due to their fragmented field and historical base rates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$3,904Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory at 60.5% in the open-seat Tennessee gubernatorial race, driven by U.S. Sen. Marsha Blackburn's commanding lead in GOP primary polls—63% in the May 7 Beacon survey versus 10% for Rep. John Rose—bolstered by endorsements from federal and state Republicans. A matching general election matchup shows Blackburn ahead 51-27% over leading Democrat Jerri Green amid high Democratic primary undecideds (62%). Tennessee's status as a Republican stronghold, with no Democratic statewide win since 2006, underpins the GOP edge, though August 6 primaries introduce modest uncertainty reflected in sub-90% pricing. Democrats trail at 6% due to their fragmented field and historical base rates.
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