Tennessee's solidly Republican voter base and electoral history continue to anchor trader consensus around a GOP victory in the 2026 gubernatorial race. Incumbent Bill Lee faces term limits, opening the contest to a Republican primary field led by Sen. Marsha Blackburn, whose recent polling leads over Rep. John Rose and Rep. Monty Fritts reflect strong party alignment ahead of the August 6 primary. Democratic contenders, including Carnita Atwater, remain limited in statewide visibility and fundraising. These structural factors, combined with consistent Republican performance in recent statewide contests, sustain the 92% implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset fragmenting GOP support, a late national political realignment, or a significant candidate-specific development before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTennessee Governor Election Winner
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
91%
Democrat
5%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$4,154 KL.
91%
Democrat
$2,128 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican voter base and electoral history continue to anchor trader consensus around a GOP victory in the 2026 gubernatorial race. Incumbent Bill Lee faces term limits, opening the contest to a Republican primary field led by Sen. Marsha Blackburn, whose recent polling leads over Rep. John Rose and Rep. Monty Fritts reflect strong party alignment ahead of the August 6 primary. Democratic contenders, including Carnita Atwater, remain limited in statewide visibility and fundraising. These structural factors, combined with consistent Republican performance in recent statewide contests, sustain the 92% implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset fragmenting GOP support, a late national political realignment, or a significant candidate-specific development before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,282Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican voter base and electoral history continue to anchor trader consensus around a GOP victory in the 2026 gubernatorial race. Incumbent Bill Lee faces term limits, opening the contest to a Republican primary field led by Sen. Marsha Blackburn, whose recent polling leads over Rep. John Rose and Rep. Monty Fritts reflect strong party alignment ahead of the August 6 primary. Democratic contenders, including Carnita Atwater, remain limited in statewide visibility and fundraising. These structural factors, combined with consistent Republican performance in recent statewide contests, sustain the 92% implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset fragmenting GOP support, a late national political realignment, or a significant candidate-specific development before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$6,282Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's solidly Republican voter base and electoral history continue to anchor trader consensus around a GOP victory in the 2026 gubernatorial race. Incumbent Bill Lee faces term limits, opening the contest to a Republican primary field led by Sen. Marsha Blackburn, whose recent polling leads over Rep. John Rose and Rep. Monty Fritts reflect strong party alignment ahead of the August 6 primary. Democratic contenders, including Carnita Atwater, remain limited in statewide visibility and fundraising. These structural factors, combined with consistent Republican performance in recent statewide contests, sustain the 92% implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset fragmenting GOP support, a late national political realignment, or a significant candidate-specific development before November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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