Recent roster instability across the Dota 2 competitive scene has shaped trader consensus around a 71% implied probability for at least one stand-in at The International 2026. Multiple teams entered qualifiers and direct invites amid shuffles, with examples like Martin “Saksa” Sazdov joining Team Yandex as a stand-in in late 2025 before solidifying his role and driving results. Last-minute disqualifications, including the permanent ban of TaiLung for integrity issues just days before the Shanghai event, have forced affected squads to adjust lineups. Prediction models explicitly factor in a roster stability index that downgrades teams with recent stand-in history, while the Swiss-format group stage and tight turnaround from regional qualifiers amplify the risk of emergency substitutions during matches. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in the scene’s fluid player movements over the past year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThe International 2026: Will Any Team Field a Stand-in?
The International 2026: Will Any Team Field a Stand-in?
53% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
53% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent roster instability across the Dota 2 competitive scene has shaped trader consensus around a 71% implied probability for at least one stand-in at The International 2026. Multiple teams entered qualifiers and direct invites amid shuffles, with examples like Martin “Saksa” Sazdov joining Team Yandex as a stand-in in late 2025 before solidifying his role and driving results. Last-minute disqualifications, including the permanent ban of TaiLung for integrity issues just days before the Shanghai event, have forced affected squads to adjust lineups. Prediction models explicitly factor in a roster stability index that downgrades teams with recent stand-in history, while the Swiss-format group stage and tight turnaround from regional qualifiers amplify the risk of emergency substitutions during matches. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in the scene’s fluid player movements over the past year.
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
Khối lượng
$217Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent roster instability across the Dota 2 competitive scene has shaped trader consensus around a 71% implied probability for at least one stand-in at The International 2026. Multiple teams entered qualifiers and direct invites amid shuffles, with examples like Martin “Saksa” Sazdov joining Team Yandex as a stand-in in late 2025 before solidifying his role and driving results. Last-minute disqualifications, including the permanent ban of TaiLung for integrity issues just days before the Shanghai event, have forced affected squads to adjust lineups. Prediction models explicitly factor in a roster stability index that downgrades teams with recent stand-in history, while the Swiss-format group stage and tight turnaround from regional qualifiers amplify the risk of emergency substitutions during matches. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in the scene’s fluid player movements over the past year.
This market will resolve "Yes" if at least one team fields a stand-in (substitute) player for one or more official matches at The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13, 2026 to August 23, 2026, in Shanghai, China. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "stand-in" means any player who competes in an official TI 2026 match (Group Stage, Elimination Round, or Main Event) who is not listed as a member of that team's active roster on the team's page on Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2) as of the start of The International 2026. This includes emergency substitutes, loaned players, or coaches/staff playing in place of a rostered player.
Any single official match in which a team fields at least one stand-in is sufficient for this market to resolve "Yes". The stand-in must actually play in a match that begins; a player being registered or named as a backup but never playing does not count.
If The International 2026 is canceled, or no official matches are played, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve and Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/dota2/The_International/2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$217Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent roster instability across the Dota 2 competitive scene has shaped trader consensus around a 71% implied probability for at least one stand-in at The International 2026. Multiple teams entered qualifiers and direct invites amid shuffles, with examples like Martin “Saksa” Sazdov joining Team Yandex as a stand-in in late 2025 before solidifying his role and driving results. Last-minute disqualifications, including the permanent ban of TaiLung for integrity issues just days before the Shanghai event, have forced affected squads to adjust lineups. Prediction models explicitly factor in a roster stability index that downgrades teams with recent stand-in history, while the Swiss-format group stage and tight turnaround from regional qualifiers amplify the risk of emergency substitutions during matches. These dynamics reflect the wisdom of crowds pricing in the scene’s fluid player movements over the past year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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