Taylor Swift holds the market lead for 2026 VMA Artist of the Year at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of her unmatched VMA history—she already holds the record for most wins—and sustained commercial dominance through the *Life of a Showgirl* era. Madonna sits second at 21% on the strength of her 13 total nominations and upcoming opening performance, positioning her as the main challenger in a fan-voted category. The remaining nominees (Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen) trade far lower, underscoring limited perceived upside. With voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, final fan mobilization and any late momentum from streaming or social metrics could still shift the outcome among the closely matched frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVMA Artist of the Year 2026
VMA Artist of the Year 2026
Taylor Swift 53%
Madonna 21%
Ariana Grande 5%
Morgan Wallen 2.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 27, 2026
Taylor Swift
53%
Madonna
21%
Ariana Grande
5%
Morgan Wallen
2%
Bruno Mars
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
2%
Taylor Swift 53%
Madonna 21%
Ariana Grande 5%
Morgan Wallen 2.0%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 27, 2026
Taylor Swift
$449 KL.
53%
Madonna
$47 KL.
21%
Ariana Grande
$158 KL.
5%
Morgan Wallen
$22 KL.
2%
Bruno Mars
$22 KL.
2%
Sabrina Carpenter
$24 KL.
2%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift holds the market lead for 2026 VMA Artist of the Year at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of her unmatched VMA history—she already holds the record for most wins—and sustained commercial dominance through the *Life of a Showgirl* era. Madonna sits second at 21% on the strength of her 13 total nominations and upcoming opening performance, positioning her as the main challenger in a fan-voted category. The remaining nominees (Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen) trade far lower, underscoring limited perceived upside. With voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, final fan mobilization and any late momentum from streaming or social metrics could still shift the outcome among the closely matched frontrunners.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$723Ngày kết thúc
Sep 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift holds the market lead for 2026 VMA Artist of the Year at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of her unmatched VMA history—she already holds the record for most wins—and sustained commercial dominance through the *Life of a Showgirl* era. Madonna sits second at 21% on the strength of her 13 total nominations and upcoming opening performance, positioning her as the main challenger in a fan-voted category. The remaining nominees (Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen) trade far lower, underscoring limited perceived upside. With voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, final fan mobilization and any late momentum from streaming or social metrics could still shift the outcome among the closely matched frontrunners.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Artist of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$723Ngày kết thúc
Sep 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift holds the market lead for 2026 VMA Artist of the Year at 54.5% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of her unmatched VMA history—she already holds the record for most wins—and sustained commercial dominance through the *Life of a Showgirl* era. Madonna sits second at 21% on the strength of her 13 total nominations and upcoming opening performance, positioning her as the main challenger in a fan-voted category. The remaining nominees (Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Bruno Mars, Morgan Wallen) trade far lower, underscoring limited perceived upside. With voting closing September 25 ahead of the September 27 ceremony, final fan mobilization and any late momentum from streaming or social metrics could still shift the outcome among the closely matched frontrunners.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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