Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNăm 2026 sẽ xếp hạng ở đâu trong số những năm nóng nhất được ghi nhận?
Năm 2026 sẽ xếp hạng ở đâu trong số những năm nóng nhất được ghi nhận?
2 57%
1 35%
4 2.8%
Thứ 6 hoặc thấp hơn 2.3%
$2,821,646 KL.
$2,821,646 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
1
35%
2
57%
3
2%
4
3%
5
1%
Thứ 6 hoặc thấp hơn
2%
2 57%
1 35%
4 2.8%
Thứ 6 hoặc thấp hơn 2.3%
$2,821,646 KL.
$2,821,646 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
1
$453,744 KL.
35%
2
$325,828 KL.
57%
3
$428,462 KL.
2%
4
$416,579 KL.
3%
5
$732,047 KL.
1%
Thứ 6 hoặc thấp hơn
$465,002 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,821,646Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.
If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.
This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$2,821,646Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 12, 2025, 5:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent global temperature data through early 2026 show a continued warming trend driven by elevated greenhouse gas concentrations, positioning the year for a likely second-place finish on record as traders weigh the moderating influence of emerging La Niña conditions against the high baseline set by 2024 and 2025. Official measurements from agencies tracking sea surface temperatures and atmospheric anomalies indicate that while 2026 remains among the warmest years historically, the expected shift in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation index reduces the chance of surpassing prior peaks. Monthly updates from NOAA on global averages and refined climate model ensembles will provide critical new inputs for assessing final rankings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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