Ongoing U.S.-Mexico law enforcement cooperation, including DEA indictments, multi-million-dollar rewards, and joint operations, has accelerated pressure on Sinaloa Cartel and Jalisco New Generation Cartel figures. February 2026 charges against René Arzate-García (“La Rana”) and his brother, paired with $5 million bounties, reflect heightened focus on border plaza bosses tied to fentanyl trafficking. March arrests of additional Sinaloa leaders and April capture of a top Jalisco successor following the February killing of Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera illustrate momentum from targeted raids and intelligence sharing. Extraditions and domestic Mexican detentions continue to shape outcomes, with scheduled hearings and potential further bounties likely to influence remaining 2026 probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
$143,093 KL.
Feb 28, 2026
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
69%
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
48%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
34%
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez
24%
Juan Reyes Mejía González
49%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
50%
$143,093 KL.
Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
$5,906 KL.
69%
Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar
$5,848 KL.
42%
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco
$60,997 KL.
48%
Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan
$4,874 KL.
34%
Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez
$58,662 KL.
24%
Juan Reyes Mejía González
$200 KL.
49%
Juan Pablo Ledezma
$658 KL.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing U.S.-Mexico law enforcement cooperation, including DEA indictments, multi-million-dollar rewards, and joint operations, has accelerated pressure on Sinaloa Cartel and Jalisco New Generation Cartel figures. February 2026 charges against René Arzate-García (“La Rana”) and his brother, paired with $5 million bounties, reflect heightened focus on border plaza bosses tied to fentanyl trafficking. March arrests of additional Sinaloa leaders and April capture of a top Jalisco successor following the February killing of Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera illustrate momentum from targeted raids and intelligence sharing. Extraditions and domestic Mexican detentions continue to shape outcomes, with scheduled hearings and potential further bounties likely to influence remaining 2026 probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$143,093Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing U.S.-Mexico law enforcement cooperation, including DEA indictments, multi-million-dollar rewards, and joint operations, has accelerated pressure on Sinaloa Cartel and Jalisco New Generation Cartel figures. February 2026 charges against René Arzate-García (“La Rana”) and his brother, paired with $5 million bounties, reflect heightened focus on border plaza bosses tied to fentanyl trafficking. March arrests of additional Sinaloa leaders and April capture of a top Jalisco successor following the February killing of Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera illustrate momentum from targeted raids and intelligence sharing. Extraditions and domestic Mexican detentions continue to shape outcomes, with scheduled hearings and potential further bounties likely to influence remaining 2026 probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$143,093Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 23, 2026, 8:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Mexico law enforcement cooperation, including DEA indictments, multi-million-dollar rewards, and joint operations, has accelerated pressure on Sinaloa Cartel and Jalisco New Generation Cartel figures. February 2026 charges against René Arzate-García (“La Rana”) and his brother, paired with $5 million bounties, reflect heightened focus on border plaza bosses tied to fentanyl trafficking. March arrests of additional Sinaloa leaders and April capture of a top Jalisco successor following the February killing of Nemesio “El Mencho” Oseguera illustrate momentum from targeted raids and intelligence sharing. Extraditions and domestic Mexican detentions continue to shape outcomes, with scheduled hearings and potential further bounties likely to influence remaining 2026 probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp