European nations dominate trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability due to unmatched squad depth across UEFA leagues, recent strong showings in major tournaments, and a stacked field featuring Spain and France as early co-favorites alongside Portugal and England. South America's 19.5% reflects Argentina's defending-champion pedigree and Brazil's attacking talent, tempered by squad injuries and tougher paths. Africa's 3.5% and CONCACAF's matching share capture Morocco's and the hosts' (USA, Mexico) momentum from opening results, while Asia and Oceania remain long shots at 2.1% and 0.4% given limited historical breakthroughs. Early group-stage form and confirmed injury absences have reinforced these gaps without major shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich continent will win the World Cup?
Châu Âu 73%
Nam Mỹ 20%
Châu Phi 3.6%
Bắc Mỹ 3.5%
$4,016,786 KL.
$4,016,786 KL.
Châu Âu
73%
Nam Mỹ
20%
Châu Phi
4%
Bắc Mỹ
3%
Châu Á
2%
Châu Đại Dương
<1%
Châu Âu 73%
Nam Mỹ 20%
Châu Phi 3.6%
Bắc Mỹ 3.5%
$4,016,786 KL.
$4,016,786 KL.
Châu Âu
73%
Nam Mỹ
20%
Châu Phi
4%
Bắc Mỹ
3%
Châu Á
2%
Châu Đại Dương
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...European nations dominate trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability due to unmatched squad depth across UEFA leagues, recent strong showings in major tournaments, and a stacked field featuring Spain and France as early co-favorites alongside Portugal and England. South America's 19.5% reflects Argentina's defending-champion pedigree and Brazil's attacking talent, tempered by squad injuries and tougher paths. Africa's 3.5% and CONCACAF's matching share capture Morocco's and the hosts' (USA, Mexico) momentum from opening results, while Asia and Oceania remain long shots at 2.1% and 0.4% given limited historical breakthroughs. Early group-stage form and confirmed injury absences have reinforced these gaps without major shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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