The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the country's largest and second-deadliest on record with over 7,000 cases and 3,400 deaths as of early September 2026, drives trader sentiment through rapid geographic spread across seven provinces amid conflict, displacement, and uneven contact tracing. Imported cases reached Uganda before its declaration of Ebola-free status, while modeling highlights elevated spillover risk to South Sudan via travel routes and weak infrastructure, with lower probabilities for neighbors like Rwanda or Burundi. Persistent transmission despite DRC claims of control, plus one noted case in France, underscores how insecurity and late detection fuel uncertainty around additional 2026 confirmations before year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$38,659 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
South Sudan
56%
Rwanda
24%
Burundi
48%
United States
20%
Canada
23%
Kenya
24%
India
46%
Republic of the Congo
21%
Nigeria
38%
Ethiopia
52%
Somalia
36%
China
14%
$38,659 KL.
South Sudan
$4,363 KL.
56%
Rwanda
$2,149 KL.
24%
Burundi
$202 KL.
48%
United States
$10,507 KL.
20%
Canada
$2,307 KL.
23%
Kenya
$235 KL.
24%
India
$737 KL.
46%
Republic of the Congo
$12,400 KL.
21%
Nigeria
$25 KL.
38%
Ethiopia
$107 KL.
52%
Somalia
$129 KL.
36%
China
$3,543 KL.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the country's largest and second-deadliest on record with over 7,000 cases and 3,400 deaths as of early September 2026, drives trader sentiment through rapid geographic spread across seven provinces amid conflict, displacement, and uneven contact tracing. Imported cases reached Uganda before its declaration of Ebola-free status, while modeling highlights elevated spillover risk to South Sudan via travel routes and weak infrastructure, with lower probabilities for neighbors like Rwanda or Burundi. Persistent transmission despite DRC claims of control, plus one noted case in France, underscores how insecurity and late detection fuel uncertainty around additional 2026 confirmations before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$38,659Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the country's largest and second-deadliest on record with over 7,000 cases and 3,400 deaths as of early September 2026, drives trader sentiment through rapid geographic spread across seven provinces amid conflict, displacement, and uneven contact tracing. Imported cases reached Uganda before its declaration of Ebola-free status, while modeling highlights elevated spillover risk to South Sudan via travel routes and weak infrastructure, with lower probabilities for neighbors like Rwanda or Burundi. Persistent transmission despite DRC claims of control, plus one noted case in France, underscores how insecurity and late detection fuel uncertainty around additional 2026 confirmations before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$38,659Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of Congo, now the country's largest and second-deadliest on record with over 7,000 cases and 3,400 deaths as of early September 2026, drives trader sentiment through rapid geographic spread across seven provinces amid conflict, displacement, and uneven contact tracing. Imported cases reached Uganda before its declaration of Ebola-free status, while modeling highlights elevated spillover risk to South Sudan via travel routes and weak infrastructure, with lower probabilities for neighbors like Rwanda or Burundi. Persistent transmission despite DRC claims of control, plus one noted case in France, underscores how insecurity and late detection fuel uncertainty around additional 2026 confirmations before year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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