HBO Max’s commanding lead in the 2026 Emmy nomination tally—122 nods versus Netflix’s 111 and Apple TV’s 87—has anchored trader consensus around its 75% implied probability for the most wins at the September 14 ceremony. The platform’s totals are powered by standout hauls for medical drama The Pitt and final-season comedy Hacks, which together account for nearly half its nominations and align with historical patterns where HBO/Max converts strong precursor and guild momentum into the largest win haul. Netflix remains competitive on volume but trails in key categories, while Apple TV’s record showing has yet to close the gap. With Creative Arts Emmys underway September 5–6 and final voting concluded, the market reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these nomination edges and platform track records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich streaming service will win the most Emmys?
HBO Max 75%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 7.8%
Hulu <1%
$75,092 KL.
$75,092 KL.

HBO Max
75%

Netflix
15%

Apple TV
8%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
HBO Max 75%
Netflix 15%
Apple TV 7.8%
Hulu <1%
$75,092 KL.
$75,092 KL.

HBO Max
75%

Netflix
15%

Apple TV
8%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...HBO Max’s commanding lead in the 2026 Emmy nomination tally—122 nods versus Netflix’s 111 and Apple TV’s 87—has anchored trader consensus around its 75% implied probability for the most wins at the September 14 ceremony. The platform’s totals are powered by standout hauls for medical drama The Pitt and final-season comedy Hacks, which together account for nearly half its nominations and align with historical patterns where HBO/Max converts strong precursor and guild momentum into the largest win haul. Netflix remains competitive on volume but trails in key categories, while Apple TV’s record showing has yet to close the gap. With Creative Arts Emmys underway September 5–6 and final voting concluded, the market reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of these nomination edges and platform track records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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