Alexander Volkanovski's position as the current UFC Featherweight champion, fresh off a unanimous decision defense against Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in early 2026, anchors trader consensus around his 57.5% implied probability of holding the belt through year-end. The 37-year-old Australian has restored dominance with tactical mastery and multiple title-fight wins, though his age and potential August-September return create openings for challengers. Movsar Evloev's undefeated 20-0 record and majority-decision victory over Lerone Murphy in March have elevated him to clear #1 contender status, driving his 44.5% share through relentless wrestling and recent momentum in the division. Lower probabilities for Aljamain Sterling, Jean Silva, and Arnold Allen reflect their solid but less immediate paths amid Volkanovski's experience edge and the crowded 145-pound landscape heading into late-2026 title implications.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAlexander Volkanovski 63%
Movsar Evloev 34%
Jean Silva 4.6%
Lerone Murphy 4.0%
$13,575 KL.
$13,575 KL.
Alexander Volkanovski
43%
Movsar Evloev
46%
Jean Silva
5%
Lerone Murphy
4%
Arnold Allen
3%
Steve Garcia
3%
Brian Ortega
2%
Aljamain Sterling
8%
Diego Lopes
1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski 63%
Movsar Evloev 34%
Jean Silva 4.6%
Lerone Murphy 4.0%
$13,575 KL.
$13,575 KL.
Alexander Volkanovski
43%
Movsar Evloev
46%
Jean Silva
5%
Lerone Murphy
4%
Arnold Allen
3%
Steve Garcia
3%
Brian Ortega
2%
Aljamain Sterling
8%
Diego Lopes
1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Thị trường mở: Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Volkanovski's position as the current UFC Featherweight champion, fresh off a unanimous decision defense against Diego Lopes at UFC 325 in early 2026, anchors trader consensus around his 57.5% implied probability of holding the belt through year-end. The 37-year-old Australian has restored dominance with tactical mastery and multiple title-fight wins, though his age and potential August-September return create openings for challengers. Movsar Evloev's undefeated 20-0 record and majority-decision victory over Lerone Murphy in March have elevated him to clear #1 contender status, driving his 44.5% share through relentless wrestling and recent momentum in the division. Lower probabilities for Aljamain Sterling, Jean Silva, and Arnold Allen reflect their solid but less immediate paths amid Volkanovski's experience edge and the crowded 145-pound landscape heading into late-2026 title implications.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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